Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2014-06-26
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2014-06-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16379 |
5518 |
748 |
848 |
810 |
236 |
103 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
9 |
49 |
220 |
204 |
113 |
53 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
3 |
24 |
199 |
402 |
396 |
158 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
122 |
174 |
500 |
375 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
147 |
279 |
446 |
2836 |
1257 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
38 |
47 |
1552 |
3145 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-06-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16600 |
5255 |
821 |
1206 |
685 |
165 |
122 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
40 |
318 |
219 |
149 |
74 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
193 |
336 |
428 |
228 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
105 |
199 |
569 |
663 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
92 |
218 |
635 |
2342 |
1148 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
17 |
28 |
1691 |
2832 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-06-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16799 |
5121 |
1022 |
1407 |
513 |
121 |
99 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
4 |
40 |
280 |
336 |
158 |
63 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
24 |
183 |
312 |
425 |
248 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
24 |
75 |
216 |
431 |
733 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
33 |
68 |
157 |
484 |
2568 |
958 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
1363 |
3151 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16799 |
5122 |
1060 |
1568 |
776 |
369 |
309 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
3 |
10 |
87 |
103 |
118 |
69 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
110 |
144 |
209 |
204 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
21 |
91 |
169 |
248 |
425 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
33 |
132 |
316 |
659 |
2505 |
1444 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
29 |
16 |
1562 |
2665 |
|
Date: 2014-06-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16749 |
4610 |
1545 |
1355 |
792 |
155 |
56 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1 |
57 |
266 |
237 |
120 |
36 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
45 |
209 |
432 |
525 |
156 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
73 |
376 |
1186 |
758 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
19 |
56 |
279 |
1117 |
349 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
12 |
37 |
1837 |
3582 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16749 |
4610 |
1562 |
1432 |
1238 |
540 |
222 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1 |
18 |
56 |
75 |
111 |
48 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
22 |
51 |
106 |
247 |
135 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
79 |
158 |
389 |
397 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
57 |
259 |
303 |
925 |
2036 |
1861 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
50 |
25 |
90 |
1122 |
2070 |
|
Date: 2014-07-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18426 |
4570 |
989 |
1198 |
226 |
202 |
72 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
4 |
62 |
316 |
199 |
192 |
55 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
32 |
178 |
363 |
580 |
351 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
71 |
360 |
787 |
615 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
38 |
81 |
290 |
1238 |
97 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
14 |
47 |
1777 |
3612 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Date: 2014-07-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18594 |
4688 |
1135 |
1160 |
144 |
110 |
70 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
2 |
57 |
550 |
163 |
69 |
60 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
38 |
512 |
687 |
234 |
264 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
244 |
601 |
190 |
330 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
134 |
401 |
680 |
556 |
36 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
30 |
428 |
2133 |
2695 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
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