Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2014-06-19
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2014-06-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16259 |
5497 |
1045 |
721 |
440 |
113 |
80 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
51 |
120 |
281 |
215 |
87 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
125 |
299 |
342 |
123 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
85 |
176 |
455 |
319 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
143 |
309 |
885 |
2107 |
844 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
24 |
54 |
2623 |
3551 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-06-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16104 |
5664 |
864 |
687 |
570 |
240 |
76 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
6 |
49 |
136 |
284 |
165 |
44 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
14 |
158 |
304 |
363 |
94 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
139 |
199 |
696 |
420 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
21 |
115 |
154 |
553 |
2198 |
1345 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
42 |
175 |
2337 |
2899 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-06-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16026 |
5608 |
734 |
894 |
830 |
237 |
82 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
22 |
26 |
143 |
248 |
128 |
55 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
9 |
24 |
119 |
275 |
499 |
178 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
134 |
184 |
528 |
406 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
125 |
222 |
433 |
2646 |
1127 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
40 |
109 |
1808 |
3237 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16026 |
5610 |
736 |
923 |
889 |
282 |
88 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
21 |
23 |
119 |
211 |
137 |
63 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
8 |
22 |
130 |
272 |
469 |
172 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
119 |
166 |
496 |
366 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
122 |
227 |
456 |
2782 |
1236 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
34 |
94 |
1704 |
3128 |
|
Date: 2014-06-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16532 |
5334 |
771 |
1076 |
621 |
63 |
105 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
6 |
83 |
191 |
225 |
109 |
50 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
52 |
166 |
351 |
559 |
196 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
104 |
191 |
674 |
627 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
26 |
76 |
173 |
474 |
2731 |
1176 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
5 |
8 |
1177 |
3198 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16532 |
5331 |
772 |
1151 |
742 |
161 |
145 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
9 |
58 |
100 |
198 |
222 |
120 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
38 |
120 |
192 |
487 |
209 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
31 |
81 |
188 |
397 |
456 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
53 |
158 |
232 |
595 |
3091 |
1767 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
14 |
25 |
865 |
2607 |
|
Date: 2014-06-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16603 |
5129 |
1088 |
1009 |
664 |
149 |
104 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
2 |
24 |
279 |
321 |
187 |
79 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
167 |
311 |
465 |
212 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
98 |
204 |
502 |
689 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
72 |
192 |
554 |
2379 |
1043 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
11 |
1580 |
3005 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16603 |
5125 |
1089 |
1000 |
726 |
298 |
174 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
6 |
17 |
166 |
234 |
203 |
119 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
172 |
246 |
373 |
240 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
128 |
196 |
322 |
592 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
158 |
295 |
660 |
2812 |
1690 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
12 |
1106 |
2358 |
|
Date: 2014-06-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16702 |
5178 |
916 |
1236 |
728 |
192 |
94 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
5 |
36 |
236 |
369 |
156 |
98 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
29 |
163 |
268 |
432 |
332 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
24 |
102 |
234 |
344 |
745 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
30 |
91 |
174 |
499 |
2505 |
877 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1261 |
3104 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16702 |
5161 |
913 |
1080 |
810 |
330 |
242 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
16 |
43 |
184 |
219 |
159 |
188 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
5 |
24 |
176 |
211 |
318 |
387 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
24 |
172 |
276 |
252 |
652 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
31 |
216 |
255 |
537 |
2817 |
1414 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
27 |
749 |
2567 |
|
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