Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2014-06-05

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14424 5982 1162 947 468 157 54 0
OW 0 2 68 145 157 178 173 0
VODI 0 0 38 94 173 402 358 0
ODI 0 0 11 96 126 334 385 0
CDI 0 0 5 92 149 524 2000 18
VCDI 0 0 0 47 55 205 3678 4712
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15502 5405 1353 709 314 123 45 0
OW 0 0 51 145 210 135 114 0
VODI 0 0 29 127 273 287 167 0
ODI 0 0 5 88 178 569 442 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 206 715 2738 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 20 61 2671 4641
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14899 5848 1514 756 300 165 67 0
OW 0 0 55 163 260 152 120 0
VODI 0 0 32 152 239 385 174 0
ODI 0 0 18 90 182 587 260 0
CDI 0 0 4 76 256 796 2168 7
VCDI 0 0 7 54 61 91 2822 4659
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14899 5848 1511 793 356 223 85 0
OW 0 0 56 134 234 162 121 0
VODI 0 0 30 146 218 358 169 0
ODI 0 0 21 82 168 573 273 0
CDI 0 0 7 83 259 764 2180 20
VCDI 0 0 5 53 63 96 2783 4646

Date: 2014-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2014-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16250 5376 1029 631 392 223 84 0
OW 0 3 34 139 273 154 95 0
VODI 0 0 17 104 288 465 132 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 139 410 299 0
CDI 0 0 0 108 200 804 2123 328
VCDI 0 0 0 55 45 61 2886 4192
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16250 5376 1031 643 548 414 170 0
OW 0 2 28 123 180 181 107 0
VODI 0 1 18 101 231 308 205 0
ODI 0 0 3 77 119 386 395 0
CDI 0 0 0 91 180 769 3010 81
VCDI 0 0 0 82 79 59 1732 4439

Date: 2014-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16259 5497 1045 721 440 113 80 0
OW 0 0 51 120 281 215 87 0
VODI 0 0 20 125 299 342 123 0
ODI 0 0 1 85 176 455 319 0
CDI 0 0 14 143 309 885 2107 844
VCDI 0 0 0 11 24 54 2623 3551
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16259 5491 1035 741 623 361 163 0
OW 0 6 32 100 186 134 84 0
VODI 0 0 31 99 219 311 191 0
ODI 0 0 19 80 120 402 436 0
CDI 0 0 12 118 332 807 2735 277
VCDI 0 0 2 67 49 49 1730 4118


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