Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2014-05-29
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2014-05-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13483 |
6195 |
910 |
874 |
338 |
95 |
19 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
3 |
90 |
201 |
149 |
114 |
43 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
3 |
148 |
225 |
223 |
219 |
208 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
47 |
136 |
250 |
433 |
419 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
96 |
228 |
514 |
1439 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
34 |
70 |
190 |
5904 |
4091 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-05-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13636 |
5759 |
1669 |
1240 |
295 |
159 |
59 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
6 |
60 |
171 |
124 |
128 |
83 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
43 |
163 |
212 |
276 |
283 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
16 |
123 |
215 |
483 |
488 |
4 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
124 |
198 |
712 |
2277 |
106 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
42 |
259 |
4195 |
3777 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-05-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
Date: 2014-06-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14456 |
6133 |
1378 |
852 |
317 |
79 |
34 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
3 |
79 |
152 |
165 |
119 |
129 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
27 |
153 |
248 |
239 |
208 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
103 |
208 |
546 |
518 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
112 |
177 |
746 |
2868 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
13 |
41 |
2635 |
4652 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14456 |
6134 |
1351 |
942 |
484 |
263 |
119 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
2 |
69 |
86 |
176 |
269 |
192 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
41 |
99 |
135 |
230 |
278 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
95 |
114 |
307 |
358 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
113 |
155 |
521 |
2261 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
64 |
180 |
3184 |
4651 |
|
Date: 2014-06-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14933 |
5879 |
1417 |
766 |
298 |
150 |
54 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
47 |
160 |
235 |
148 |
125 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
21 |
147 |
250 |
350 |
163 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
87 |
181 |
565 |
358 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
63 |
214 |
724 |
2485 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
43 |
62 |
2754 |
4672 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14933 |
5879 |
1354 |
836 |
509 |
450 |
166 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
49 |
100 |
187 |
253 |
143 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
52 |
102 |
124 |
185 |
207 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
25 |
75 |
132 |
362 |
376 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
92 |
149 |
517 |
1888 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
120 |
232 |
3159 |
4669 |
|
Date: 2014-06-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15909 |
5250 |
1209 |
704 |
330 |
123 |
100 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
3 |
40 |
171 |
258 |
168 |
148 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
35 |
120 |
200 |
450 |
198 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
71 |
153 |
528 |
335 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
250 |
738 |
2197 |
8 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
81 |
79 |
92 |
2761 |
4624 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15909 |
5224 |
1185 |
757 |
500 |
472 |
299 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
12 |
31 |
103 |
121 |
160 |
151 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
17 |
38 |
101 |
142 |
200 |
192 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
31 |
83 |
143 |
375 |
392 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
115 |
234 |
708 |
1726 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
67 |
130 |
184 |
2979 |
4627 |
|
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