Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2014-04-24

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2014-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13186 6555 698 467 170 40 31 0
OW 0 111 98 169 121 22 29 0
VODI 0 41 86 196 143 77 38 0
ODI 0 16 42 116 108 128 107 0
CDI 0 10 13 158 256 427 774 1
VCDI 0 1 11 71 174 942 7543 4243
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13376 6474 425 314 178 42 45 0
OW 0 162 118 128 97 52 32 0
VODI 0 68 57 168 149 87 76 0
ODI 0 27 35 63 143 118 124 0
CDI 0 9 23 124 211 453 688 10
VCDI 0 0 4 45 131 855 7819 4489
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13376 6529 442 329 195 46 48 0
OW 0 114 99 123 86 55 35 0
VODI 0 63 62 156 146 77 77 0
ODI 0 25 37 68 142 130 125 0
CDI 0 7 18 120 211 446 766 9
VCDI 0 2 4 46 129 853 7733 4490

Date: 2014-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13087 6343 459 382 202 109 34 0
OW 0 105 120 197 90 78 41 0
VODI 0 26 54 133 164 150 78 0
ODI 0 6 19 79 147 200 161 0
CDI 0 0 3 64 208 545 1129 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 68 571 7606 4756
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13087 6338 452 374 221 161 81 0
OW 0 91 85 129 76 88 64 0
VODI 0 43 67 158 113 150 114 0
ODI 0 8 24 69 97 130 178 0
CDI 0 0 27 98 228 340 648 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 144 784 7964 4756

Date: 2014-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12638 6123 867 472 237 164 31 0
OW 0 74 120 200 89 84 49 0
VODI 0 28 63 129 160 185 87 0
ODI 0 0 31 78 99 166 208 1
CDI 0 0 15 101 166 499 809 41
VCDI 0 0 5 40 117 618 7353 5272
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12638 6041 855 533 267 231 84 0
OW 0 105 86 112 86 92 73 0
VODI 0 76 88 114 114 135 144 0
ODI 0 3 42 79 75 122 163 0
CDI 0 0 22 124 164 313 571 1
VCDI 0 0 8 58 162 823 7502 5313

Date: 2014-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12520 6556 671 385 154 119 55 0
OW 0 68 126 194 85 58 57 0
VODI 0 28 88 216 151 135 120 0
ODI 0 0 35 103 145 171 210 1
CDI 0 0 13 135 204 475 723 23
VCDI 0 0 1 68 128 606 7504 5088
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12520 6483 701 460 196 181 147 0
OW 0 76 87 171 102 86 75 0
VODI 0 71 73 132 133 140 160 1
ODI 0 12 35 86 73 135 183 31
CDI 0 10 28 185 216 352 548 102
VCDI 0 0 10 67 147 670 7556 4978


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