Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2014-04-17

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13307 5986 510 239 122 82 21 0
OW 0 143 154 108 59 62 32 0
VODI 0 78 127 133 112 116 55 0
ODI 0 19 60 104 146 163 128 0
CDI 0 1 36 93 102 249 402 18
VCDI 0 0 14 86 331 1062 7750 5209
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12989 6102 700 323 204 112 76 0
OW 0 57 113 114 81 54 49 0
VODI 0 39 75 134 127 121 97 0
ODI 0 16 27 54 107 194 162 0
CDI 0 12 35 42 100 268 533 7
VCDI 0 0 11 47 155 640 8061 5381
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2014-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2014-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13519 6488 471 271 119 64 30 0
OW 0 139 125 146 90 49 29 0
VODI 0 44 53 190 136 99 51 0
ODI 0 24 38 92 144 137 119 0
CDI 0 6 23 131 223 508 754 12
VCDI 0 0 2 40 191 1189 7524 4149
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13519 6432 445 300 142 111 68 0
OW 0 90 73 56 26 27 21 0
VODI 0 74 87 97 66 42 43 0
ODI 0 32 41 113 124 74 73 0
CDI 0 25 41 155 202 353 531 2
VCDI 0 48 25 149 343 1439 7771 4159

Date: 2014-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12913 6436 698 417 185 55 44 0
OW 0 76 138 177 87 79 45 0
VODI 0 14 70 210 150 97 102 0
ODI 0 5 28 107 106 126 148 0
CDI 0 0 6 156 286 401 508 0
VCDI 0 0 1 45 160 1051 7645 4647
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12913 6475 714 484 238 107 112 0
OW 0 33 66 71 45 42 35 0
VODI 0 15 70 123 75 58 77 0
ODI 0 2 41 111 86 75 91 0
CDI 0 2 37 174 211 309 428 0
VCDI 0 4 13 149 319 1218 7749 4647


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