Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2014-04-10
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2014-04-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
12516 |
5961 |
765 |
454 |
183 |
58 |
12 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
93 |
219 |
143 |
87 |
49 |
15 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
59 |
138 |
184 |
142 |
134 |
46 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
75 |
135 |
165 |
168 |
112 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
8 |
61 |
179 |
206 |
339 |
595 |
12 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
28 |
77 |
221 |
1158 |
8726 |
3882 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-04-08:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13041 |
6129 |
539 |
300 |
173 |
103 |
87 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
93 |
142 |
84 |
73 |
76 |
29 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
42 |
84 |
136 |
105 |
141 |
89 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
37 |
98 |
121 |
236 |
236 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
111 |
120 |
370 |
510 |
12 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
99 |
648 |
7576 |
5732 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-04-10:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13309 |
5963 |
468 |
199 |
115 |
106 |
32 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
132 |
225 |
115 |
50 |
74 |
28 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
63 |
125 |
124 |
92 |
107 |
72 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
18 |
53 |
105 |
135 |
210 |
140 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
49 |
60 |
125 |
364 |
352 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
16 |
74 |
240 |
1064 |
7637 |
5372 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13309 |
6058 |
637 |
248 |
138 |
145 |
53 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
56 |
98 |
90 |
40 |
57 |
26 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
43 |
76 |
106 |
75 |
85 |
92 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
18 |
45 |
82 |
94 |
156 |
111 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
46 |
60 |
161 |
350 |
238 |
8 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
34 |
91 |
249 |
1132 |
7741 |
5369 |
|
Date: 2014-04-14:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13295 |
6155 |
553 |
229 |
112 |
136 |
15 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
86 |
167 |
129 |
58 |
55 |
26 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
31 |
100 |
190 |
123 |
106 |
46 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
17 |
75 |
120 |
220 |
133 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
17 |
43 |
110 |
274 |
500 |
7 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
19 |
138 |
903 |
7765 |
5440 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13295 |
6082 |
571 |
259 |
130 |
187 |
60 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
79 |
81 |
64 |
21 |
37 |
22 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
59 |
79 |
101 |
68 |
55 |
41 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
41 |
55 |
87 |
72 |
84 |
87 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
14 |
35 |
89 |
134 |
271 |
345 |
13 |
| VCDI |
0 |
12 |
44 |
85 |
236 |
1060 |
7930 |
5434 |
|
Date: 2014-04-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13133 |
6082 |
599 |
273 |
142 |
140 |
23 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
117 |
143 |
111 |
71 |
82 |
30 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
47 |
109 |
153 |
122 |
142 |
57 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
20 |
24 |
90 |
114 |
202 |
153 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
31 |
73 |
111 |
229 |
511 |
6 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
65 |
136 |
629 |
7890 |
5552 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13133 |
6082 |
619 |
296 |
182 |
192 |
55 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
74 |
77 |
68 |
45 |
37 |
30 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
59 |
92 |
83 |
68 |
78 |
53 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
27 |
54 |
95 |
89 |
109 |
115 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
24 |
43 |
101 |
98 |
253 |
461 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
5 |
23 |
122 |
214 |
755 |
7950 |
5555 |
|
Date: 2014-04-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
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