Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2014-02-27

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13542 6225 599 238 158 84 0 0
OW 0 141 150 140 117 60 2 0
VODI 0 168 108 190 255 148 35 0
ODI 0 86 89 145 323 286 92 0
CDI 0 77 35 120 231 421 542 9
VCDI 0 50 47 132 384 1139 5992 4859
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14290 6322 210 169 83 37 0 0
OW 0 341 122 113 118 68 0 0
VODI 0 290 143 234 263 148 4 0
ODI 0 74 57 133 221 308 67 2
CDI 0 22 36 103 155 346 242 61
VCDI 0 14 21 147 272 898 6627 4658
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12959 6535 1009 280 66 28 1 0
OW 0 229 172 197 85 54 1 0
VODI 0 197 189 250 226 119 6 0
ODI 0 98 106 202 294 187 57 0
CDI 0 29 95 158 228 265 255 66
VCDI 0 3 69 133 355 935 7088 4193
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12959 6848 1255 485 254 81 5 0
OW 0 60 81 132 71 60 9 0
VODI 0 79 69 157 122 101 17 0
ODI 0 66 66 150 199 130 45 2
CDI 0 30 76 139 200 217 220 63
VCDI 0 8 93 157 408 999 7112 4194

Date: 2014-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13049 6636 868 302 88 14 0 0
OW 0 157 220 192 105 62 0 0
VODI 0 250 177 218 206 118 30 0
ODI 0 22 110 187 204 220 98 0
CDI 0 2 59 205 249 312 451 3
VCDI 0 0 11 91 271 833 7554 3845
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13049 6486 864 362 169 57 0 0
OW 0 93 107 87 57 23 3 0
VODI 0 88 125 135 94 56 17 0
ODI 0 100 93 120 116 124 66 0
CDI 0 140 95 177 200 228 262 12
VCDI 0 160 161 314 487 1071 7785 3836

Date: 2014-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13567 6406 578 256 90 5 0 0
OW 0 119 201 180 123 31 0 0
VODI 0 193 139 210 196 129 17 0
ODI 0 183 76 167 209 292 138 0
CDI 0 23 38 121 211 448 439 4
VCDI 0 4 13 58 175 792 7702 3886
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13567 6366 540 295 174 13 2 0
OW 0 77 96 102 44 23 6 0
VODI 0 82 112 162 122 92 32 0
ODI 0 71 64 88 122 154 73 2
CDI 0 142 104 125 187 311 388 5
VCDI 0 190 129 220 355 1104 7795 3883

Date: 2014-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13918 6485 314 113 49 12 0 0
OW 0 265 157 137 96 83 3 0
VODI 0 178 167 152 118 161 32 0
ODI 0 303 117 182 190 281 122 0
CDI 0 70 82 107 237 396 406 7
VCDI 0 8 46 104 208 941 7487 3685
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13918 6445 339 164 101 74 5 0
OW 0 152 79 65 52 40 5 0
VODI 0 151 101 117 82 88 23 0
ODI 0 104 77 93 114 146 76 0
CDI 0 154 78 114 160 260 243 10
VCDI 0 303 209 242 389 1266 7698 3682


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