Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2014-01-16
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2014-01-10:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14345 |
5747 |
600 |
196 |
57 |
19 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
217 |
201 |
133 |
94 |
22 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
164 |
157 |
172 |
121 |
79 |
16 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
110 |
98 |
249 |
127 |
137 |
38 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
159 |
114 |
199 |
249 |
277 |
281 |
19 |
| VCDI |
0 |
110 |
114 |
167 |
222 |
1052 |
7271 |
4074 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-01-14:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14019 |
6118 |
623 |
205 |
68 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
155 |
317 |
169 |
88 |
22 |
9 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
207 |
199 |
175 |
133 |
88 |
60 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
36 |
83 |
162 |
144 |
167 |
113 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
13 |
30 |
76 |
188 |
440 |
580 |
40 |
| VCDI |
0 |
8 |
44 |
67 |
119 |
619 |
6728 |
5103 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-01-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14200 |
5906 |
383 |
189 |
41 |
9 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
238 |
150 |
170 |
79 |
29 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
199 |
136 |
224 |
131 |
78 |
16 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
128 |
87 |
175 |
143 |
147 |
85 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
81 |
32 |
137 |
259 |
505 |
206 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
18 |
69 |
87 |
280 |
1122 |
6730 |
4944 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14200 |
6118 |
506 |
362 |
137 |
38 |
24 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
119 |
92 |
121 |
48 |
32 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
121 |
92 |
137 |
108 |
73 |
19 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
111 |
56 |
142 |
121 |
114 |
59 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
73 |
35 |
132 |
234 |
505 |
231 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
28 |
76 |
88 |
285 |
1128 |
6704 |
4944 |
|
Date: 2014-01-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14030 |
6039 |
579 |
232 |
50 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
122 |
245 |
176 |
83 |
46 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
119 |
174 |
276 |
158 |
93 |
14 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
54 |
56 |
126 |
187 |
203 |
77 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
5 |
49 |
86 |
190 |
429 |
303 |
12 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
23 |
71 |
150 |
844 |
6899 |
5194 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14030 |
5948 |
587 |
323 |
130 |
59 |
16 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
91 |
117 |
81 |
47 |
34 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
86 |
134 |
142 |
77 |
60 |
14 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
51 |
111 |
142 |
105 |
104 |
30 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
50 |
61 |
131 |
186 |
293 |
281 |
21 |
| VCDI |
0 |
116 |
116 |
148 |
273 |
1084 |
6949 |
5185 |
|
Date: 2014-01-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13587 |
6126 |
759 |
263 |
87 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
90 |
202 |
157 |
69 |
32 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
50 |
202 |
219 |
132 |
90 |
28 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
37 |
100 |
203 |
143 |
142 |
71 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
37 |
24 |
109 |
198 |
341 |
228 |
23 |
| VCDI |
0 |
53 |
84 |
111 |
195 |
790 |
6763 |
5626 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13587 |
6084 |
796 |
341 |
149 |
83 |
17 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
72 |
94 |
69 |
39 |
24 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
70 |
138 |
126 |
83 |
45 |
13 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
39 |
96 |
159 |
105 |
110 |
22 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
23 |
130 |
179 |
161 |
242 |
186 |
31 |
| VCDI |
0 |
105 |
117 |
188 |
287 |
938 |
6849 |
5618 |
|
Date: 2014-01-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14062 |
5714 |
728 |
203 |
53 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
88 |
251 |
206 |
94 |
13 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
36 |
156 |
218 |
154 |
77 |
70 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
25 |
130 |
151 |
170 |
136 |
75 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
47 |
84 |
143 |
147 |
292 |
206 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
34 |
66 |
111 |
168 |
636 |
6905 |
5767 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14062 |
5660 |
720 |
307 |
134 |
16 |
14 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
45 |
113 |
88 |
37 |
18 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
52 |
119 |
117 |
75 |
35 |
10 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
45 |
85 |
117 |
85 |
64 |
25 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
33 |
173 |
121 |
155 |
177 |
204 |
21 |
| VCDI |
0 |
109 |
205 |
282 |
300 |
845 |
6999 |
5746 |
|
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