Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2013-12-26

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2013-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14740 6543 292 208 26 5 1 0
OW 0 279 142 191 67 26 8 0
VODI 0 146 127 152 138 81 21 0
ODI 0 82 66 96 125 150 66 0
CDI 0 74 69 103 113 323 306 8
VCDI 0 88 139 216 295 958 7050 3899
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2013-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2013-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14524 6403 638 216 35 12 0 0
OW 0 148 181 185 72 34 4 0
VODI 0 122 205 154 133 103 10 0
ODI 0 51 126 119 125 160 50 0
CDI 0 12 31 82 130 268 286 9
VCDI 0 3 20 46 93 522 7022 5085
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14524 6320 624 304 54 46 9 0
OW 0 75 102 80 42 25 4 0
VODI 0 109 133 90 62 65 8 0
ODI 0 62 99 83 93 73 26 0
CDI 0 40 66 47 68 129 230 9
VCDI 0 133 177 198 269 761 7095 5085

Date: 2014-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2014-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14262 6082 635 204 35 12 1 0
OW 0 199 183 182 65 35 4 0
VODI 0 107 134 191 91 74 23 0
ODI 0 53 52 108 86 109 83 0
CDI 0 50 106 81 91 152 344 13
VCDI 0 15 133 197 162 551 7734 4780
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14262 6237 760 361 95 39 14 0
OW 0 79 72 104 44 37 16 0
VODI 0 68 98 127 71 60 41 0
ODI 0 48 67 99 79 74 117 0
CDI 0 24 44 69 87 156 310 9
VCDI 0 50 202 203 154 567 7691 4784


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