Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2013-11-21
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2013-11-15:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17414 |
5582 |
388 |
247 |
92 |
96 |
19 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
723 |
121 |
118 |
50 |
14 |
5 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
629 |
223 |
232 |
137 |
39 |
8 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
147 |
145 |
229 |
242 |
283 |
25 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
1 |
27 |
74 |
205 |
425 |
157 |
1 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
32 |
172 |
761 |
5176 |
3163 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2013-11-19:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17306 |
6246 |
406 |
287 |
109 |
21 |
14 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
461 |
236 |
120 |
69 |
83 |
5 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
250 |
289 |
259 |
201 |
73 |
7 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
20 |
89 |
192 |
246 |
245 |
26 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
11 |
22 |
64 |
246 |
636 |
86 |
2 |
VCDI |
0 |
1 |
29 |
63 |
229 |
1420 |
4531 |
2819 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2013-11-21:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16777 |
5729 |
487 |
358 |
109 |
9 |
14 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
398 |
171 |
147 |
89 |
36 |
2 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
329 |
331 |
342 |
99 |
61 |
21 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
54 |
131 |
367 |
254 |
133 |
24 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
23 |
49 |
164 |
317 |
493 |
137 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
62 |
194 |
939 |
5055 |
3503 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16777 |
6128 |
675 |
506 |
206 |
83 |
37 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
109 |
84 |
118 |
37 |
30 |
15 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
176 |
172 |
212 |
70 |
50 |
21 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
92 |
176 |
331 |
180 |
90 |
6 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
28 |
66 |
183 |
313 |
361 |
73 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
90 |
256 |
1057 |
5101 |
3503 |
|
Date: 2013-11-25:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15866 |
5972 |
1131 |
793 |
91 |
27 |
15 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
527 |
146 |
208 |
141 |
73 |
6 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
255 |
213 |
201 |
126 |
138 |
42 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
5 |
49 |
136 |
160 |
179 |
152 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
1 |
23 |
94 |
162 |
278 |
353 |
6 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
75 |
228 |
956 |
4985 |
3600 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15866 |
6061 |
1033 |
749 |
164 |
142 |
47 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
172 |
52 |
54 |
48 |
37 |
14 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
258 |
88 |
106 |
51 |
71 |
16 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
148 |
112 |
100 |
51 |
78 |
79 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
101 |
154 |
143 |
111 |
138 |
183 |
5 |
VCDI |
0 |
20 |
129 |
355 |
483 |
1185 |
5214 |
3600 |
|
Date: 2013-11-27:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16301 |
5817 |
477 |
374 |
50 |
17 |
17 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
305 |
97 |
175 |
67 |
25 |
6 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
290 |
147 |
208 |
170 |
79 |
16 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
107 |
178 |
258 |
282 |
226 |
27 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
28 |
59 |
111 |
397 |
336 |
159 |
5 |
VCDI |
0 |
2 |
17 |
72 |
225 |
947 |
5619 |
3726 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16301 |
6170 |
490 |
446 |
199 |
101 |
34 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
92 |
59 |
69 |
42 |
42 |
10 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
120 |
75 |
112 |
92 |
73 |
37 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
84 |
101 |
98 |
98 |
80 |
22 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
46 |
122 |
197 |
188 |
173 |
78 |
5 |
VCDI |
0 |
37 |
128 |
276 |
572 |
1161 |
5663 |
3726 |
|
Date: 2013-11-29:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15430 |
5955 |
561 |
315 |
66 |
39 |
21 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
276 |
144 |
98 |
49 |
48 |
14 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
178 |
192 |
155 |
75 |
81 |
12 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
110 |
147 |
183 |
126 |
124 |
30 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
68 |
148 |
240 |
314 |
337 |
156 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
13 |
83 |
239 |
354 |
1383 |
5476 |
4179 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15430 |
6210 |
733 |
475 |
156 |
201 |
72 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
100 |
67 |
61 |
39 |
53 |
21 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
89 |
99 |
124 |
55 |
60 |
50 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
79 |
64 |
84 |
117 |
85 |
20 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
66 |
61 |
115 |
154 |
184 |
108 |
1 |
VCDI |
0 |
56 |
251 |
371 |
463 |
1429 |
5438 |
4178 |
|
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