Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2013-11-07

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2013-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18605 4830 532 388 104 6 1 0
OW 21 397 113 159 122 18 5 0
VODI 0 379 252 185 185 59 7 0
ODI 0 126 251 160 179 193 10 0
CDI 0 13 89 167 237 372 91 0
VCDI 0 0 4 30 250 1254 5668 1957
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18453 5771 962 315 42 25 2 0
OW 32 405 266 201 35 10 5 0
VODI 0 219 143 256 94 21 12 0
ODI 0 22 42 230 164 80 37 0
CDI 0 0 19 145 205 293 137 0
VCDI 0 0 8 43 178 801 4866 2880
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18428 6010 362 198 23 37 0 0
OW 26 789 148 199 66 31 5 0
VODI 0 299 200 223 178 87 12 0
ODI 0 49 60 113 150 211 58 0
CDI 0 26 33 61 159 316 236 0
VCDI 0 19 45 75 185 802 4294 3206
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18454 6933 584 489 191 96 13 0
OW 0 87 60 72 51 48 3 0
VODI 0 76 72 81 84 66 11 0
ODI 0 36 31 63 83 145 42 0
CDI 0 33 34 55 113 243 176 0
VCDI 0 27 67 109 239 886 4360 3206

Date: 2013-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18041 6107 532 554 69 17 30 0
OW 28 692 248 194 63 42 6 0
VODI 0 115 104 351 211 89 17 0
ODI 0 9 27 79 163 210 42 0
CDI 0 7 20 64 128 355 275 0
VCDI 0 0 10 64 145 622 4251 3438
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18069 6297 505 685 141 40 38 0
OW 0 210 83 73 38 13 3 0
VODI 0 201 112 132 62 36 6 0
ODI 0 98 91 112 82 56 18 0
CDI 0 76 53 99 129 169 88 0
VCDI 0 48 97 205 327 1021 4468 3438

Date: 2013-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17316 5691 812 400 100 55 34 0
OW 0 884 131 130 56 6 2 0
VODI 0 517 417 257 122 32 6 0
ODI 0 29 93 228 202 147 32 0
CDI 0 12 14 64 164 290 163 0
VCDI 0 18 25 84 191 899 4862 2934
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17316 6116 1046 530 163 66 39 0
OW 0 161 46 74 39 12 4 0
VODI 0 344 61 115 65 37 4 0
ODI 0 298 62 88 70 50 18 0
CDI 0 140 95 118 133 161 110 1
VCDI 0 92 182 238 365 1103 4924 2933

Date: 2013-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17414 5582 388 247 92 96 19 0
OW 0 723 121 118 50 14 5 0
VODI 0 629 223 232 137 39 8 0
ODI 0 147 145 229 242 283 25 0
CDI 0 1 27 74 205 425 157 1
VCDI 0 0 17 32 172 761 5176 3163
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17414 6138 522 403 194 131 23 0
OW 0 104 56 80 43 41 3 0
VODI 0 207 43 75 64 60 15 0
ODI 0 335 38 68 78 116 25 0
CDI 0 231 114 93 170 231 123 0
VCDI 0 67 148 213 349 1039 5201 3164


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