Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2013-10-24
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2013-10-18:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21386 |
6216 |
306 |
127 |
58 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
1 |
623 |
151 |
148 |
88 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
13 |
301 |
105 |
317 |
148 |
151 |
1 |
0 |
ODI |
2 |
108 |
37 |
66 |
219 |
228 |
0 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
37 |
71 |
81 |
40 |
180 |
9 |
7 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
65 |
130 |
672 |
2611 |
2634 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2013-10-22:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
19722 |
6474 |
804 |
202 |
14 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
526 |
174 |
220 |
72 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
159 |
142 |
314 |
272 |
37 |
7 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
23 |
30 |
95 |
298 |
271 |
12 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
30 |
168 |
739 |
62 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
123 |
549 |
3058 |
2798 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2013-10-24:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20126 |
5664 |
413 |
141 |
29 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
4 |
684 |
186 |
146 |
72 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
361 |
146 |
285 |
214 |
78 |
3 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
54 |
61 |
114 |
278 |
288 |
17 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
42 |
130 |
519 |
176 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
856 |
3357 |
2870 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20130 |
6431 |
623 |
340 |
229 |
67 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
147 |
59 |
83 |
81 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
146 |
66 |
161 |
109 |
79 |
4 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
25 |
43 |
67 |
108 |
123 |
18 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
8 |
33 |
73 |
158 |
287 |
62 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
97 |
1167 |
3468 |
2870 |
|
Date: 2013-10-28:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
19785 |
6018 |
469 |
171 |
48 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
19 |
439 |
240 |
177 |
102 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
1 |
102 |
117 |
232 |
182 |
60 |
0 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
8 |
6 |
54 |
273 |
248 |
5 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
16 |
90 |
690 |
42 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
41 |
1016 |
3677 |
3053 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
19805 |
5980 |
518 |
216 |
115 |
52 |
2 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
116 |
69 |
34 |
42 |
27 |
1 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
165 |
105 |
90 |
68 |
51 |
2 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
130 |
61 |
113 |
133 |
89 |
6 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
140 |
51 |
122 |
161 |
276 |
10 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
36 |
33 |
86 |
217 |
1541 |
3703 |
3053 |
|
Date: 2013-10-30:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18326 |
6020 |
556 |
162 |
42 |
2 |
5 |
0 |
OW |
2 |
666 |
227 |
162 |
46 |
15 |
2 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
263 |
390 |
302 |
136 |
49 |
8 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
7 |
93 |
270 |
279 |
91 |
18 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
86 |
309 |
310 |
72 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
139 |
1416 |
5534 |
1375 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18328 |
6577 |
778 |
318 |
96 |
38 |
17 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
91 |
93 |
62 |
35 |
21 |
10 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
118 |
137 |
112 |
70 |
33 |
14 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
66 |
100 |
146 |
137 |
62 |
18 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
78 |
86 |
173 |
212 |
116 |
48 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
26 |
91 |
191 |
401 |
1613 |
5532 |
1375 |
|
Date: 2013-11-01:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18605 |
4830 |
532 |
388 |
104 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
21 |
397 |
113 |
159 |
122 |
18 |
5 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
379 |
252 |
185 |
185 |
59 |
7 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
126 |
251 |
160 |
179 |
193 |
10 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
13 |
89 |
167 |
237 |
372 |
91 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
30 |
250 |
1254 |
5668 |
1957 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18626 |
5364 |
746 |
630 |
324 |
70 |
12 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
74 |
60 |
45 |
49 |
21 |
5 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
116 |
94 |
52 |
84 |
56 |
13 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
86 |
121 |
63 |
89 |
120 |
17 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
61 |
120 |
118 |
117 |
231 |
69 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
44 |
100 |
181 |
414 |
1404 |
5666 |
1957 |
|
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