Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2013-10-24

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2013-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21386 6216 306 127 58 16 0 0
OW 1 623 151 148 88 65 0 0
VODI 13 301 105 317 148 151 1 0
ODI 2 108 37 66 219 228 0 0
CDI 0 37 71 81 40 180 9 7
VCDI 0 0 1 65 130 672 2611 2634
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19722 6474 804 202 14 4 0 0
OW 0 526 174 220 72 10 0 0
VODI 0 159 142 314 272 37 7 0
ODI 0 23 30 95 298 271 12 0
CDI 0 0 1 30 168 739 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 123 549 3058 2798
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20126 5664 413 141 29 2 0 0
OW 4 684 186 146 72 22 0 0
VODI 0 361 146 285 214 78 3 0
ODI 0 54 61 114 278 288 17 0
CDI 0 0 22 42 130 519 176 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 59 856 3357 2870
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20130 6431 623 340 229 67 1 0
OW 0 147 59 83 81 42 0 0
VODI 0 146 66 161 109 79 4 0
ODI 0 25 43 67 108 123 18 0
CDI 0 8 33 73 158 287 62 0
VCDI 0 6 4 4 97 1167 3468 2870

Date: 2013-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19785 6018 469 171 48 3 0 0
OW 19 439 240 177 102 19 0 0
VODI 1 102 117 232 182 60 0 0
ODI 0 8 6 54 273 248 5 0
CDI 0 0 5 16 90 690 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 41 1016 3677 3053
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19805 5980 518 216 115 52 2 0
OW 0 116 69 34 42 27 1 0
VODI 0 165 105 90 68 51 2 0
ODI 0 130 61 113 133 89 6 0
CDI 0 140 51 122 161 276 10 0
VCDI 0 36 33 86 217 1541 3703 3053

Date: 2013-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18326 6020 556 162 42 2 5 0
OW 2 666 227 162 46 15 2 0
VODI 0 263 390 302 136 49 8 0
ODI 0 7 93 270 279 91 18 0
CDI 0 0 19 86 309 310 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 139 1416 5534 1375
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18328 6577 778 318 96 38 17 0
OW 0 91 93 62 35 21 10 0
VODI 0 118 137 112 70 33 14 0
ODI 0 66 100 146 137 62 18 0
CDI 0 78 86 173 212 116 48 0
VCDI 0 26 91 191 401 1613 5532 1375

Date: 2013-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18605 4830 532 388 104 6 1 0
OW 21 397 113 159 122 18 5 0
VODI 0 379 252 185 185 59 7 0
ODI 0 126 251 160 179 193 10 0
CDI 0 13 89 167 237 372 91 0
VCDI 0 0 4 30 250 1254 5668 1957
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18626 5364 746 630 324 70 12 0
OW 0 74 60 45 49 21 5 0
VODI 0 116 94 52 84 56 13 0
ODI 0 86 121 63 89 120 17 0
CDI 0 61 120 118 117 231 69 0
VCDI 0 44 100 181 414 1404 5666 1957


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