Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2013-08-08
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2013-08-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
22574 |
5439 |
2602 |
595 |
155 |
50 |
31 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
46 |
69 |
197 |
71 |
35 |
20 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
7 |
21 |
107 |
202 |
121 |
51 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
10 |
27 |
79 |
176 |
263 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
398 |
880 |
11 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
114 |
1323 |
1730 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2013-08-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
24195 |
5270 |
1513 |
397 |
141 |
29 |
26 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
16 |
15 |
116 |
98 |
44 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
7 |
5 |
46 |
175 |
136 |
20 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
65 |
223 |
103 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
21 |
273 |
590 |
30 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
137 |
1926 |
1766 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2013-08-08:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
23897 |
6179 |
921 |
386 |
73 |
24 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
22 |
94 |
120 |
45 |
17 |
14 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
5 |
33 |
142 |
94 |
71 |
20 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
10 |
47 |
83 |
143 |
99 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
27 |
66 |
275 |
683 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
137 |
1855 |
1807 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
23897 |
6196 |
1003 |
493 |
118 |
42 |
22 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
8 |
22 |
73 |
30 |
15 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
22 |
66 |
56 |
73 |
28 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
6 |
60 |
72 |
103 |
72 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
29 |
88 |
303 |
753 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
12 |
131 |
1792 |
1809 |
|
Date: 2013-08-12:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
23071 |
6485 |
1336 |
407 |
30 |
9 |
10 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
8 |
59 |
130 |
37 |
12 |
9 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
141 |
166 |
65 |
12 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
7 |
59 |
128 |
344 |
152 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
89 |
516 |
348 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
21 |
125 |
1917 |
1697 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
23071 |
6480 |
1375 |
535 |
112 |
37 |
24 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
8 |
20 |
54 |
47 |
28 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
6 |
14 |
84 |
70 |
39 |
29 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
50 |
109 |
94 |
62 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
22 |
126 |
793 |
727 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
80 |
1598 |
1697 |
|
Date: 2013-08-14:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
25244 |
4986 |
761 |
287 |
71 |
11 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
7 |
58 |
109 |
83 |
14 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
23 |
131 |
140 |
116 |
8 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
43 |
179 |
370 |
55 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
122 |
492 |
440 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
56 |
1739 |
1834 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
25244 |
4983 |
797 |
385 |
172 |
62 |
6 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
6 |
24 |
54 |
59 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
3 |
20 |
69 |
69 |
71 |
8 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
9 |
55 |
112 |
146 |
39 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
24 |
185 |
714 |
929 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
29 |
1264 |
1833 |
|
Date: 2013-08-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
24940 |
5277 |
719 |
346 |
45 |
9 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
37 |
49 |
100 |
94 |
12 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
17 |
24 |
127 |
143 |
117 |
23 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
18 |
49 |
168 |
349 |
88 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
118 |
414 |
533 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
1641 |
1919 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
24940 |
5286 |
744 |
470 |
181 |
69 |
13 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
24 |
16 |
32 |
51 |
34 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
15 |
23 |
59 |
49 |
65 |
27 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
19 |
50 |
111 |
115 |
56 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
32 |
177 |
632 |
1392 |
83 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
789 |
1836 |
|
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