Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2013-05-23

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2013-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2013-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15072 5915 681 418 77 28 23 0
OW 34 160 133 378 218 31 40 0
VODI 1 5 49 269 505 289 155 0
ODI 2 1 10 101 297 643 643 0
CDI 0 0 5 47 76 700 2693 0
VCDI 0 0 2 24 29 102 3812 3751
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15135 6099 466 392 118 14 23 0
OW 3 155 179 263 202 54 45 0
VODI 0 9 138 231 419 332 196 0
ODI 0 1 44 91 307 468 686 1
CDI 0 0 15 60 143 547 2446 1
VCDI 0 0 1 24 67 139 3822 4083
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15138 6255 661 696 382 159 279 0
OW 0 7 55 80 124 74 63 0
VODI 0 2 67 112 209 151 113 0
ODI 0 0 37 60 253 367 278 0
CDI 0 0 15 67 190 666 2400 2
VCDI 0 0 8 46 98 137 4085 4083

Date: 2013-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15304 6034 753 415 53 1 0 0
OW 0 29 143 363 175 35 8 0
VODI 0 5 75 351 514 252 134 0
ODI 0 0 23 126 286 591 599 0
CDI 0 0 19 89 160 551 2638 73
VCDI 0 0 1 18 25 57 3497 4022
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15304 6061 876 836 401 117 291 0
OW 0 5 31 103 119 64 84 0
VODI 0 2 39 120 175 117 136 0
ODI 0 0 33 97 179 278 307 0
CDI 0 0 21 129 275 779 2717 9
VCDI 0 0 14 77 64 132 3341 4086

Date: 2013-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16389 5665 394 305 80 6 0 0
OW 2 8 147 246 325 88 24 0
VODI 2 0 87 230 373 442 250 0
ODI 0 0 13 55 175 576 657 0
CDI 0 0 30 73 125 437 2767 97
VCDI 0 0 5 24 37 99 3259 3927
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16393 5660 517 525 433 210 334 0
OW 0 10 48 90 87 95 86 0
VODI 0 3 50 84 131 160 194 0
ODI 0 0 13 70 143 301 329 0
CDI 0 0 27 105 242 726 2813 2
VCDI 0 0 21 59 79 156 3201 4022

Date: 2013-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16230 5778 405 418 116 20 1 0
OW 2 16 192 248 371 141 56 0
VODI 2 6 105 212 347 468 337 0
ODI 0 5 11 67 175 544 662 0
CDI 0 0 36 76 156 444 2595 20
VCDI 0 0 5 25 28 58 2932 4109
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16234 5790 614 671 481 255 412 0
OW 0 9 46 49 95 102 114 0
VODI 0 3 36 66 113 166 196 0
ODI 0 3 3 68 132 275 330 0
CDI 0 0 37 122 293 703 2434 4
VCDI 0 0 18 70 79 174 3097 4125


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