Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2013-05-16

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2013-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13901 6225 734 439 75 16 3 0
OW 0 55 129 418 190 29 16 0
VODI 0 9 92 242 361 167 76 0
ODI 0 7 26 149 270 293 298 0
CDI 0 0 11 178 403 808 1551 0
VCDI 0 0 1 55 61 412 5588 4131
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14430 6025 752 445 92 15 2 0
OW 1 65 121 346 130 25 5 0
VODI 0 15 52 270 371 180 97 0
ODI 0 1 14 146 293 450 421 0
CDI 0 0 4 69 241 959 1953 3
VCDI 0 0 2 27 38 310 5017 4032
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14582 6101 573 406 121 25 6 0
OW 1 91 165 240 193 66 29 0
VODI 0 17 110 148 300 241 147 0
ODI 0 0 22 127 254 475 440 0
CDI 0 0 8 54 248 849 2165 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 51 308 4906 3936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14583 6192 767 685 414 183 130 0
OW 0 8 46 57 83 67 62 0
VODI 0 6 40 78 128 133 114 0
ODI 0 3 10 96 189 282 242 0
CDI 0 0 8 55 277 916 2013 0
VCDI 0 0 7 18 76 383 5132 3936

Date: 2013-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2013-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15270 5984 492 360 97 22 9 0
OW 7 116 160 349 219 46 25 0
VODI 1 5 41 229 477 386 189 0
ODI 2 2 13 95 214 611 712 1
CDI 0 0 0 61 95 391 2774 10
VCDI 0 0 0 18 76 95 3586 4179
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15280 6094 601 630 398 200 259 0
OW 0 4 32 75 78 70 72 0
VODI 0 6 45 104 130 156 131 0
ODI 0 3 18 112 167 188 293 4
CDI 0 0 10 102 269 725 1952 10
VCDI 0 0 0 89 136 212 4588 4176

Date: 2013-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15285 6081 445 379 96 28 43 0
OW 1 169 149 265 199 37 46 0
VODI 0 30 143 231 417 316 193 0
ODI 0 3 54 136 235 412 733 0
CDI 0 0 20 121 140 519 2520 1
VCDI 0 0 1 35 49 88 3707 4092
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15286 6230 598 628 375 206 356 0
OW 0 20 35 73 72 48 70 0
VODI 0 18 40 99 121 89 126 0
ODI 0 14 41 101 170 141 189 0
CDI 0 1 77 175 320 701 1945 1
VCDI 0 0 21 91 78 215 4556 4092


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