Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2013-03-21

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2013-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12297 5915 498 296 184 90 54 0
OW 1 71 99 120 97 78 43 0
VODI 0 46 83 99 116 149 71 0
ODI 0 6 29 83 102 188 102 0
CDI 0 0 9 33 136 346 412 26
VCDI 0 0 0 10 95 411 6870 8155
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12867 5910 545 305 88 46 7 0
OW 1 96 86 107 95 48 14 0
VODI 0 27 79 130 108 82 34 0
ODI 0 8 35 87 109 153 79 0
CDI 0 0 9 60 114 270 378 66
VCDI 0 0 0 17 61 502 8901 5896
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12945 5747 531 295 99 83 28 0
OW 1 85 104 103 62 80 23 0
VODI 0 22 78 89 80 134 52 0
ODI 0 4 35 58 88 187 131 8
CDI 0 0 8 21 111 370 542 109
VCDI 0 0 0 30 95 510 9141 5331
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12946 5813 625 378 148 159 46 0
OW 0 27 46 52 44 57 32 0
VODI 0 14 41 60 50 105 61 0
ODI 0 4 31 46 70 124 110 12
CDI 0 0 13 24 103 336 472 146
VCDI 0 0 0 36 120 583 9196 5290

Date: 2013-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12632 5685 536 366 166 94 21 0
OW 0 47 69 111 84 106 34 0
VODI 0 27 35 88 117 142 82 0
ODI 0 15 5 41 72 168 153 0
CDI 0 10 8 19 85 319 619 8
VCDI 0 0 12 16 132 597 8171 6527
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12632 5668 582 455 253 178 48 0
OW 0 35 19 54 49 55 37 0
VODI 0 43 25 48 72 110 65 0
ODI 0 34 16 33 54 115 105 0
CDI 0 4 11 32 91 244 537 5
VCDI 0 0 12 19 137 724 8288 6530

Date: 2013-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12656 5778 456 302 142 69 11 0
OW 0 61 97 82 98 113 18 0
VODI 0 32 43 72 123 198 47 0
ODI 0 17 17 30 99 221 108 0
CDI 0 10 13 14 89 370 457 28
VCDI 0 0 8 10 99 672 7731 7028
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12656 5804 501 376 256 179 21 0
OW 0 40 34 30 52 84 20 0
VODI 0 31 51 24 68 125 45 0
ODI 0 20 20 42 52 137 80 0
CDI 0 3 21 28 103 282 407 0
VCDI 0 0 7 10 119 836 7799 7056

Date: 2013-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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