Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2013-02-07

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2013-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13539 6377 313 254 35 6 0 0
OW 0 222 128 155 135 43 2 0
VODI 0 130 155 174 214 213 18 0
ODI 0 41 67 106 182 256 125 3
CDI 0 30 37 71 180 408 208 76
VCDI 0 23 54 101 256 1364 6264 5454
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13755 6707 469 386 179 38 3 0
OW 0 157 93 150 140 49 6 3
VODI 0 92 105 183 200 225 77 13
ODI 0 17 40 127 122 337 129 38
CDI 0 0 15 52 171 417 389 111
VCDI 0 0 2 2 59 734 5939 5688
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13168 6730 717 383 125 16 0 0
OW 1 116 128 213 128 43 3 0
VODI 0 116 76 235 174 107 44 0
ODI 0 41 120 148 204 298 145 20
CDI 0 0 38 89 180 322 484 71
VCDI 0 0 1 32 98 429 7038 5138
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13169 6824 834 585 258 98 4 0
OW 0 50 43 111 61 35 7 0
VODI 0 78 50 148 130 107 64 0
ODI 0 43 57 107 130 192 131 21
CDI 0 8 90 103 181 302 358 67
VCDI 0 0 6 46 149 481 7150 5141

Date: 2013-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13397 6787 593 339 82 7 0 0
OW 1 87 156 326 197 40 1 0
VODI 0 5 55 183 307 175 25 0
ODI 0 0 14 49 160 413 223 0
CDI 0 0 7 11 81 511 905 18
VCDI 0 0 0 12 52 386 6310 5504
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13397 6684 599 481 264 68 9 0
OW 1 57 53 89 79 44 4 0
VODI 0 47 53 113 112 114 25 0
ODI 0 27 28 79 111 210 92 0
CDI 0 56 40 76 133 355 425 12
VCDI 0 8 52 82 180 741 6909 5510

Date: 2013-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13188 6491 802 367 74 5 0 0
OW 1 178 118 226 149 24 0 0
VODI 0 104 78 259 250 68 6 0
ODI 0 16 55 157 250 221 106 0
CDI 0 0 10 94 206 773 528 12
VCDI 0 0 4 35 83 496 6928 5057
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13188 6570 819 508 225 49 2 0
OW 1 59 68 103 73 16 6 0
VODI 0 52 56 140 121 38 17 0
ODI 0 32 18 120 148 86 77 0
CDI 0 43 30 104 224 459 315 26
VCDI 0 33 76 163 221 939 7151 5043

Date: 2013-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13265 6437 632 275 82 2 0 0
OW 0 231 177 208 103 14 2 0
VODI 0 109 111 240 248 57 21 0
ODI 0 40 65 193 218 156 72 1
CDI 0 9 27 121 236 449 450 18
VCDI 0 2 17 48 143 701 7028 5211
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13264 6493 696 429 243 34 5 0
OW 1 77 62 94 39 12 11 0
VODI 0 79 70 120 95 42 28 0
ODI 0 47 44 109 115 68 64 0
CDI 0 30 33 128 239 256 335 12
VCDI 0 102 124 205 299 967 7130 5218


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