Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2013-01-24

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2013-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14502 6600 513 275 102 55 0 0
OW 0 111 156 239 111 79 0 0
VODI 0 38 126 245 230 212 0 0
ODI 0 6 53 114 208 278 25 0
CDI 0 0 30 98 242 503 155 10
VCDI 0 1 38 86 250 1707 6990 3031
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13994 6450 810 383 56 12 3 0
OW 0 142 135 244 109 34 0 0
VODI 0 66 83 310 205 132 17 0
ODI 0 28 40 111 268 223 88 0
CDI 0 12 49 97 259 469 299 4
VCDI 0 6 28 76 284 1508 7189 3196
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2013-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14199 6236 485 221 42 18 1 0
OW 1 286 181 167 88 35 0 0
VODI 0 122 207 194 190 83 0 0
ODI 0 44 120 117 242 177 16 0
CDI 0 53 59 78 285 330 203 4
VCDI 0 31 72 161 446 1958 6707 3560
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14200 6455 656 385 188 86 1 0
OW 0 86 109 70 56 35 0 0
VODI 0 89 130 139 132 67 2 0
ODI 0 52 64 94 137 109 13 0
CDI 0 26 42 52 182 238 171 3
VCDI 0 64 123 198 598 2066 6740 3561

Date: 2013-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13386 6836 383 238 42 25 0 0
OW 0 229 162 159 75 31 0 0
VODI 0 77 148 203 135 147 1 0
ODI 0 19 75 159 156 261 17 0
CDI 0 18 14 106 171 465 152 2
VCDI 0 33 20 64 223 2888 6324 3975
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13386 6938 505 397 151 143 1 0
OW 0 76 64 66 44 46 0 0
VODI 0 69 87 117 78 111 2 0
ODI 0 34 61 130 81 152 25 0
CDI 0 30 42 97 125 289 121 2
VCDI 0 65 43 122 323 3076 6345 3975

Date: 2013-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13645 6432 278 256 52 21 0 0
OW 0 248 100 159 91 41 0 0
VODI 0 141 93 170 177 196 8 0
ODI 0 44 57 108 159 326 33 0
CDI 0 27 23 70 173 438 177 40
VCDI 0 29 62 44 273 1996 5844 5388
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13645 6553 350 450 225 180 0 0
OW 0 82 35 49 72 79 4 0
VODI 0 89 56 70 89 141 16 0
ODI 0 50 49 78 80 238 44 0
CDI 0 52 27 88 126 351 143 20
VCDI 0 95 96 72 333 2029 5855 5408

Date: 2013-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13539 6377 313 254 35 6 0 0
OW 0 222 128 155 135 43 2 0
VODI 0 130 155 174 214 213 18 0
ODI 0 41 67 106 182 256 125 3
CDI 0 30 37 71 180 408 208 76
VCDI 0 23 54 101 256 1364 6264 5454
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13539 6488 473 384 279 192 15 0
OW 0 79 55 67 47 62 16 0
VODI 0 81 59 80 99 118 34 0
ODI 0 40 45 73 115 177 94 0
CDI 0 46 30 104 139 363 255 32
VCDI 0 89 92 153 323 1378 6203 5501


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