Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2012-06-07
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2012-06-01:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15931 |
5546 |
911 |
848 |
635 |
170 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
135 |
270 |
501 |
283 |
15 |
2 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
46 |
118 |
508 |
787 |
38 |
12 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
43 |
191 |
1016 |
285 |
2 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
35 |
46 |
249 |
1145 |
1530 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
14 |
103 |
2199 |
3778 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2012-06-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16216 |
5744 |
1178 |
965 |
296 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
16 |
122 |
498 |
579 |
189 |
20 |
5 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
36 |
157 |
586 |
649 |
62 |
10 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
33 |
196 |
951 |
394 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
58 |
255 |
883 |
1221 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
33 |
121 |
2116 |
3757 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2012-06-07:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16402 |
5725 |
1418 |
781 |
170 |
34 |
11 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
34 |
207 |
599 |
579 |
121 |
42 |
6 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
56 |
211 |
688 |
441 |
219 |
9 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
16 |
35 |
199 |
614 |
547 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
44 |
38 |
233 |
728 |
1318 |
15 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
61 |
91 |
1953 |
3769 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16402 |
5759 |
1652 |
1471 |
987 |
329 |
159 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
18 |
70 |
170 |
81 |
54 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
56 |
196 |
176 |
120 |
3 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
29 |
208 |
345 |
310 |
3 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
38 |
39 |
345 |
1056 |
1545 |
7 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
24 |
42 |
1902 |
3787 |
|
Date: 2012-06-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16873 |
5538 |
1675 |
1288 |
337 |
31 |
5 |
5 |
| OW |
0 |
15 |
121 |
308 |
359 |
152 |
32 |
8 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
31 |
131 |
361 |
407 |
153 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
72 |
237 |
501 |
341 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
68 |
161 |
682 |
1462 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
89 |
2091 |
3846 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16873 |
5553 |
1800 |
1537 |
835 |
492 |
272 |
2 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
7 |
60 |
80 |
87 |
85 |
4 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
65 |
95 |
135 |
159 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
57 |
83 |
319 |
311 |
7 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
30 |
113 |
337 |
781 |
1658 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
29 |
48 |
1599 |
3846 |
|
Date: 2012-06-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
Date: 2012-06-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17267 |
7199 |
1157 |
533 |
136 |
34 |
4 |
6 |
| OW |
0 |
75 |
118 |
360 |
209 |
92 |
30 |
7 |
| VODI |
0 |
4 |
65 |
225 |
307 |
428 |
168 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
21 |
116 |
116 |
303 |
307 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
28 |
53 |
122 |
514 |
2637 |
296 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
885 |
3589 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17267 |
7226 |
1161 |
908 |
532 |
525 |
272 |
11 |
| OW |
0 |
14 |
35 |
16 |
23 |
41 |
69 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
17 |
48 |
32 |
31 |
66 |
149 |
4 |
| ODI |
0 |
14 |
38 |
47 |
66 |
223 |
340 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
7 |
101 |
254 |
227 |
477 |
1963 |
131 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
30 |
11 |
44 |
1238 |
3754 |
|
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