Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2012-06-06
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2012-05-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15792 |
5592 |
933 |
856 |
508 |
105 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
124 |
293 |
543 |
223 |
11 |
4 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
42 |
131 |
438 |
823 |
42 |
9 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
21 |
67 |
206 |
959 |
257 |
3 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
64 |
271 |
1291 |
1676 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
13 |
97 |
2241 |
3766 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2012-06-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15893 |
5530 |
906 |
1137 |
662 |
150 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
1 |
57 |
341 |
643 |
275 |
22 |
6 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
38 |
120 |
525 |
821 |
49 |
9 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
23 |
244 |
1083 |
206 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
33 |
24 |
212 |
1112 |
1108 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
17 |
143 |
2250 |
3759 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2012-06-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16367 |
5613 |
1121 |
931 |
384 |
26 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
17 |
156 |
516 |
587 |
238 |
25 |
6 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
40 |
159 |
601 |
602 |
157 |
9 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
28 |
207 |
723 |
544 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
32 |
32 |
225 |
828 |
1355 |
25 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
42 |
88 |
2029 |
3688 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16367 |
5630 |
1306 |
1506 |
1206 |
487 |
137 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
0 |
11 |
54 |
143 |
120 |
49 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
46 |
178 |
234 |
80 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
27 |
199 |
470 |
299 |
3 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
25 |
30 |
292 |
1130 |
1516 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
28 |
64 |
2033 |
3715 |
|
Date: 2012-06-10:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
Date: 2012-06-12:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16873 |
5664 |
1803 |
1245 |
415 |
79 |
8 |
6 |
| OW |
0 |
7 |
107 |
183 |
325 |
189 |
64 |
7 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
26 |
98 |
304 |
429 |
194 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
51 |
145 |
524 |
298 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
23 |
52 |
144 |
594 |
1872 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
1717 |
3886 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16873 |
5668 |
1889 |
1360 |
815 |
601 |
302 |
5 |
| OW |
0 |
3 |
24 |
50 |
41 |
102 |
83 |
1 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
74 |
86 |
175 |
141 |
6 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
46 |
90 |
251 |
355 |
4 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
33 |
89 |
290 |
696 |
1982 |
29 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
11 |
59 |
1290 |
3859 |
|
Date: 2012-06-14:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17192 |
5464 |
2128 |
1267 |
196 |
41 |
8 |
6 |
| OW |
0 |
22 |
86 |
344 |
221 |
108 |
40 |
7 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
28 |
193 |
407 |
439 |
140 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
75 |
196 |
274 |
308 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
21 |
82 |
140 |
503 |
2434 |
128 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1035 |
3866 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17192 |
5486 |
2153 |
1561 |
630 |
521 |
183 |
7 |
| OW |
0 |
2 |
37 |
52 |
59 |
82 |
71 |
4 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
24 |
84 |
52 |
100 |
149 |
4 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
78 |
103 |
265 |
369 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
40 |
161 |
302 |
369 |
2297 |
42 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
25 |
14 |
31 |
896 |
3952 |
|
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