Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2012-05-23

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2012-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2012-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16753 5444 402 148 67 21 3 0
OW 2 192 251 211 86 33 13 0
VODI 0 36 92 238 220 145 98 2
ODI 0 6 16 57 269 362 367 6
CDI 0 0 6 31 287 827 1519 8
VCDI 0 0 5 22 73 478 4437 4186
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2012-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16678 5489 509 285 66 13 2 0
OW 0 42 155 287 215 48 8 0
VODI 0 7 58 134 407 323 111 6
ODI 0 0 5 30 275 715 436 13
CDI 0 0 0 46 122 546 3221 17
VCDI 0 0 0 9 26 154 2818 4143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16678 5527 643 533 297 163 113 0
OW 0 5 18 89 66 79 68 0
VODI 0 4 23 61 107 149 145 3
ODI 0 1 20 42 122 181 308 6
CDI 0 1 23 29 266 786 1931 28
VCDI 0 0 0 37 253 441 4031 4142

Date: 2012-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2012-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15842 5570 730 664 237 68 37 0
OW 0 21 127 347 348 163 88 2
VODI 0 8 66 290 512 488 217 10
ODI 0 5 12 133 388 642 434 4
CDI 0 1 19 62 360 1268 1535 2
VCDI 0 0 5 24 67 322 2343 3958
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15842 5605 845 1005 589 407 251 0
OW 0 0 31 87 130 82 92 0
VODI 0 0 22 114 200 164 118 4
ODI 0 0 13 123 275 312 248 4
CDI 0 0 45 109 480 1179 1180 10
VCDI 0 0 3 82 238 807 2765 3958

Date: 2012-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15792 5592 933 856 508 105 1 0
OW 0 0 124 293 543 223 11 4
VODI 0 0 42 131 438 823 42 9
ODI 0 0 21 67 206 959 257 3
CDI 0 0 5 64 271 1291 1676 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 13 97 2241 3766
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15792 5592 1030 1053 839 582 96 0
OW 0 0 25 61 117 163 32 1
VODI 0 0 17 73 172 259 84 3
ODI 0 0 20 70 256 392 171 5
CDI 0 0 28 120 347 1221 1329 7
VCDI 0 0 5 46 248 881 2516 3766


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