Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2012-05-16
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2012-05-10:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15379 |
6334 |
347 |
488 |
136 |
17 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
50 |
75 |
248 |
142 |
71 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
15 |
23 |
151 |
223 |
175 |
59 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
10 |
53 |
184 |
286 |
211 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
169 |
788 |
1255 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
66 |
810 |
5303 |
4271 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2012-05-14:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16495 |
5530 |
189 |
94 |
21 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
7 |
240 |
172 |
216 |
52 |
26 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
7 |
114 |
75 |
409 |
171 |
86 |
56 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
27 |
33 |
198 |
159 |
168 |
237 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
154 |
219 |
504 |
942 |
6 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
46 |
165 |
846 |
5758 |
3978 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2012-05-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17055 |
5131 |
294 |
148 |
15 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
9 |
171 |
278 |
277 |
114 |
21 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
6 |
76 |
241 |
235 |
128 |
39 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
21 |
80 |
254 |
294 |
287 |
3 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
48 |
162 |
643 |
1444 |
11 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
52 |
509 |
5397 |
3922 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17063 |
5212 |
530 |
369 |
158 |
120 |
105 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
31 |
44 |
44 |
38 |
28 |
43 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
52 |
38 |
82 |
57 |
44 |
73 |
0 |
| ODI |
1 |
13 |
39 |
96 |
66 |
85 |
113 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
17 |
141 |
222 |
381 |
799 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
8 |
87 |
291 |
952 |
6037 |
3933 |
|
Date: 2012-05-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
Date: 2012-05-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16789 |
5340 |
412 |
169 |
53 |
7 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
225 |
253 |
204 |
83 |
32 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
37 |
112 |
290 |
243 |
132 |
90 |
4 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
23 |
83 |
296 |
314 |
444 |
5 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
58 |
347 |
721 |
1637 |
7 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
21 |
153 |
535 |
4325 |
3940 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16789 |
5565 |
573 |
382 |
215 |
85 |
102 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
22 |
64 |
54 |
51 |
39 |
43 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
12 |
64 |
73 |
62 |
80 |
91 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
39 |
88 |
69 |
107 |
185 |
3 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
40 |
130 |
292 |
636 |
1432 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
36 |
98 |
486 |
794 |
4659 |
3942 |
|
Date: 2012-05-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16736 |
5273 |
635 |
405 |
142 |
25 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
10 |
173 |
181 |
246 |
80 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
56 |
107 |
370 |
374 |
169 |
7 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
46 |
228 |
593 |
549 |
10 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
130 |
609 |
3244 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
28 |
171 |
2711 |
4023 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16736 |
5278 |
686 |
438 |
299 |
205 |
97 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
5 |
56 |
53 |
64 |
60 |
49 |
1 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
45 |
71 |
74 |
105 |
146 |
3 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
23 |
59 |
97 |
144 |
272 |
3 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
51 |
124 |
296 |
612 |
1856 |
25 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
66 |
314 |
726 |
4266 |
4009 |
|
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