Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2012-05-09

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2012-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14382 6256 851 597 291 127 18 0
OW 12 33 78 141 248 118 28 0
VODI 1 13 32 131 179 226 71 0
ODI 0 6 10 86 160 255 175 4
CDI 0 14 15 49 199 615 707 21
VCDI 0 0 3 30 175 1375 5653 4034
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2012-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14924 6076 425 340 127 39 2 0
OW 0 366 119 213 152 73 34 0
VODI 0 81 58 124 152 123 101 1
ODI 0 30 14 78 134 185 226 6
CDI 0 16 11 62 220 522 950 31
VCDI 0 4 1 76 325 1559 6937 2502
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2012-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15256 6377 406 395 134 15 4 0
OW 0 43 95 192 218 82 18 0
VODI 0 12 11 87 228 264 51 0
ODI 0 5 4 30 130 407 209 0
CDI 0 0 1 22 173 633 1431 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 105 614 5509 4247
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15256 6331 419 452 281 160 177 0
OW 0 38 34 41 53 66 52 0
VODI 0 46 36 61 65 109 88 0
ODI 0 12 12 66 129 181 123 0
CDI 0 6 12 73 208 598 1088 2
VCDI 0 4 4 44 252 901 5694 4245

Date: 2012-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2012-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16766 5019 342 86 16 16 0 0
OW 5 281 173 161 46 15 6 0
VODI 9 92 224 283 179 103 62 0
ODI 0 17 60 183 141 159 284 0
CDI 0 0 9 123 281 459 912 12
VCDI 0 0 1 46 161 906 5755 4026
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16775 5284 484 287 141 116 150 0
OW 2 42 18 53 22 21 40 0
VODI 1 43 40 79 44 44 82 0
ODI 1 20 88 81 58 71 128 0
CDI 1 18 92 154 228 332 698 0
VCDI 0 2 87 228 331 1074 5921 4038

Date: 2012-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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