Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2012-04-25

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2012-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13106 6594 584 618 143 37 6 0
OW 0 20 46 274 218 47 19 0
VODI 0 1 11 181 370 181 56 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 252 364 178 17
CDI 0 0 2 36 175 517 625 66
VCDI 0 0 0 30 102 667 7607 4224
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2012-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13336 6236 669 255 104 83 27 0
OW 0 162 157 168 86 95 31 0
VODI 0 34 51 227 220 199 78 0
ODI 0 26 8 109 180 283 110 0
CDI 0 7 5 67 245 617 507 0
VCDI 0 0 2 53 242 1485 7241 4014
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2012-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13698 6121 592 497 163 83 21 0
OW 0 11 74 292 178 146 21 0
VODI 0 0 34 77 164 258 60 0
ODI 0 0 11 32 143 347 129 0
CDI 0 0 1 21 99 785 684 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 44 778 7629 4219
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13698 5889 508 628 272 388 281 0
OW 0 75 28 63 56 76 60 0
VODI 0 97 48 66 86 121 100 0
ODI 0 59 65 62 89 127 103 0
CDI 0 6 28 56 141 449 456 0
VCDI 0 6 35 51 147 1236 7544 4219

Date: 2012-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2012-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2012-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14382 6256 851 597 291 127 18 0
OW 12 33 78 141 248 118 28 0
VODI 1 13 32 131 179 226 71 0
ODI 0 6 10 86 160 255 175 4
CDI 0 14 15 49 199 615 707 21
VCDI 0 0 3 30 175 1375 5653 4034
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14389 5886 751 566 378 341 202 0
OW 4 66 32 69 58 50 45 0
VODI 2 67 33 110 74 81 83 0
ODI 0 70 38 85 96 125 110 5
CDI 0 54 55 100 205 320 483 12
VCDI 0 179 80 104 441 1799 5729 4042


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