Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2012-04-04

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2012-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14245 6230 468 258 68 14 6 0
OW 0 94 137 145 118 63 17 0
VODI 0 20 137 139 183 147 57 5
ODI 0 1 75 55 134 264 140 73
CDI 0 0 34 36 169 464 546 123
VCDI 0 0 18 21 102 1016 6769 4828
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2012-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13320 6082 588 424 229 103 11 0
OW 0 95 92 155 123 153 40 0
VODI 0 48 58 124 178 231 94 7
ODI 0 27 61 90 158 312 174 67
CDI 0 9 59 76 142 569 499 117
VCDI 0 0 39 91 173 852 6939 4810
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2012-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13028 6296 1002 595 216 35 3 0
OW 0 12 91 226 211 169 15 0
VODI 0 2 35 123 232 325 92 67
ODI 0 0 11 52 156 410 258 123
CDI 0 0 4 36 79 574 699 187
VCDI 0 0 2 11 42 777 6721 4502
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13028 6088 755 451 275 368 171 0
OW 0 53 85 60 51 69 52 0
VODI 0 55 84 74 88 129 98 55
ODI 0 49 35 63 103 190 123 97
CDI 0 55 60 113 129 327 425 138
VCDI 0 10 126 282 290 1207 6919 4589

Date: 2012-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2012-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13645 6087 549 253 134 77 4 0
OW 0 174 118 179 133 103 15 0
VODI 0 95 84 229 227 273 49 4
ODI 0 8 90 119 189 445 82 50
CDI 0 0 56 112 195 511 246 165
VCDI 0 0 9 77 298 1675 6325 4335
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13645 5852 506 385 349 430 93 0
OW 0 102 38 70 53 106 31 0
VODI 0 123 47 94 74 152 63 4
ODI 0 88 47 67 115 177 47 38
CDI 0 86 41 62 99 331 154 110
VCDI 0 113 227 291 486 1888 6333 4402

Date: 2012-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13863 6436 642 370 161 48 2 0
OW 0 90 109 147 143 103 16 0
VODI 0 89 96 111 171 240 76 0
ODI 0 59 74 119 161 310 114 0
CDI 0 1 29 87 203 527 480 0
VCDI 0 0 1 25 158 1495 6843 3820
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13863 5945 481 343 250 308 140 0
OW 0 98 62 40 44 70 44 0
VODI 0 131 81 70 64 104 82 0
ODI 0 90 65 78 89 132 59 0
CDI 0 98 77 84 133 260 223 0
VCDI 0 313 185 244 417 1849 6983 3820


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