Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2012-02-08
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2012-02-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15923 |
6303 |
583 |
256 |
39 |
13 |
15 |
0 |
| OW |
4 |
481 |
292 |
390 |
168 |
37 |
31 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
80 |
107 |
367 |
384 |
194 |
213 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
56 |
32 |
175 |
203 |
210 |
384 |
3 |
| CDI |
0 |
15 |
24 |
90 |
182 |
306 |
687 |
6 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
26 |
125 |
194 |
4943 |
3871 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2012-02-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15811 |
5815 |
227 |
55 |
12 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
26 |
899 |
153 |
118 |
18 |
11 |
9 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
962 |
315 |
334 |
161 |
38 |
20 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
475 |
126 |
296 |
279 |
237 |
159 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
51 |
24 |
177 |
295 |
325 |
541 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
24 |
125 |
215 |
724 |
4596 |
3750 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2012-02-08:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15309 |
6995 |
657 |
694 |
57 |
7 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
14 |
425 |
181 |
406 |
231 |
50 |
16 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
68 |
53 |
345 |
359 |
175 |
75 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
26 |
102 |
265 |
365 |
267 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
13 |
36 |
33 |
138 |
481 |
955 |
14 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
45 |
30 |
71 |
380 |
4491 |
3580 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15310 |
6162 |
659 |
573 |
147 |
37 |
42 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
135 |
44 |
97 |
74 |
19 |
23 |
0 |
| VODI |
5 |
246 |
47 |
252 |
130 |
75 |
46 |
0 |
| ODI |
8 |
310 |
50 |
180 |
142 |
140 |
156 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
384 |
47 |
156 |
172 |
229 |
523 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
273 |
151 |
352 |
456 |
958 |
5015 |
3585 |
|
Date: 2012-02-12:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
Date: 2012-02-14:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13855 |
6514 |
555 |
354 |
160 |
29 |
5 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
557 |
183 |
163 |
80 |
52 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1080 |
121 |
337 |
215 |
177 |
39 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
51 |
55 |
216 |
323 |
300 |
139 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
15 |
76 |
272 |
464 |
870 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
133 |
714 |
5168 |
4112 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13855 |
6563 |
586 |
459 |
272 |
111 |
100 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
319 |
48 |
61 |
49 |
32 |
31 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
494 |
66 |
138 |
88 |
66 |
58 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
295 |
45 |
106 |
120 |
127 |
90 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
283 |
73 |
142 |
185 |
281 |
350 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
251 |
111 |
259 |
469 |
1119 |
5604 |
4111 |
|
Date: 2012-02-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13590 |
6683 |
516 |
281 |
106 |
25 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
221 |
297 |
198 |
84 |
62 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
417 |
225 |
320 |
214 |
189 |
37 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
378 |
159 |
267 |
375 |
441 |
93 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
17 |
89 |
182 |
776 |
407 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
3 |
38 |
141 |
995 |
5560 |
4013 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13590 |
6652 |
589 |
459 |
205 |
274 |
86 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
86 |
53 |
63 |
36 |
78 |
14 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
146 |
124 |
85 |
65 |
112 |
33 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
481 |
116 |
114 |
98 |
175 |
54 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
217 |
121 |
172 |
159 |
303 |
230 |
15 |
| VCDI |
0 |
123 |
214 |
300 |
539 |
1546 |
5693 |
3999 |
|
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