Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2012-02-01
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2012-01-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14388 |
6400 |
643 |
234 |
120 |
35 |
5 |
0 |
| OW |
1 |
294 |
144 |
127 |
124 |
67 |
13 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
390 |
155 |
227 |
179 |
180 |
20 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
99 |
107 |
167 |
141 |
318 |
55 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
53 |
161 |
188 |
475 |
410 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
32 |
178 |
1127 |
6878 |
3258 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2012-01-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14501 |
6408 |
820 |
121 |
44 |
14 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
194 |
286 |
151 |
133 |
24 |
20 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
225 |
190 |
240 |
306 |
93 |
61 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
195 |
129 |
184 |
275 |
326 |
164 |
7 |
| CDI |
0 |
9 |
68 |
109 |
179 |
515 |
563 |
15 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
39 |
26 |
98 |
554 |
6258 |
3869 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2012-02-01:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15084 |
6740 |
746 |
682 |
255 |
36 |
43 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
215 |
194 |
340 |
255 |
141 |
93 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
55 |
86 |
137 |
274 |
338 |
253 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
57 |
48 |
99 |
160 |
265 |
466 |
10 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
47 |
62 |
127 |
262 |
794 |
13 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
27 |
106 |
153 |
4751 |
3998 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15084 |
6412 |
749 |
540 |
187 |
70 |
98 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
88 |
43 |
82 |
57 |
60 |
40 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
140 |
47 |
146 |
153 |
103 |
120 |
4 |
| ODI |
0 |
152 |
46 |
117 |
134 |
152 |
187 |
8 |
| CDI |
0 |
136 |
74 |
150 |
146 |
236 |
414 |
11 |
| VCDI |
0 |
141 |
165 |
312 |
500 |
574 |
5541 |
4000 |
|
Date: 2012-02-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
Date: 2012-02-07:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14265 |
6898 |
624 |
73 |
13 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
515 |
378 |
199 |
72 |
16 |
16 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
601 |
269 |
386 |
256 |
180 |
32 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
535 |
137 |
257 |
294 |
286 |
231 |
2 |
| CDI |
0 |
77 |
47 |
133 |
201 |
434 |
605 |
6 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
62 |
90 |
153 |
719 |
4710 |
3640 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14265 |
6995 |
944 |
309 |
131 |
51 |
62 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
208 |
44 |
40 |
29 |
22 |
22 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
350 |
63 |
140 |
68 |
87 |
27 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
392 |
108 |
135 |
108 |
136 |
105 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
393 |
128 |
127 |
149 |
229 |
355 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
288 |
230 |
387 |
504 |
1115 |
5025 |
3643 |
|
Date: 2012-02-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15703 |
6852 |
640 |
532 |
84 |
29 |
6 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
376 |
135 |
549 |
154 |
40 |
13 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
24 |
43 |
369 |
398 |
137 |
77 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
14 |
94 |
252 |
280 |
303 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
42 |
89 |
168 |
209 |
932 |
13 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
42 |
74 |
271 |
4771 |
3681 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15703 |
5967 |
506 |
362 |
113 |
46 |
92 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
196 |
50 |
108 |
48 |
32 |
23 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
260 |
73 |
186 |
82 |
57 |
47 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
352 |
75 |
197 |
90 |
72 |
138 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
341 |
48 |
264 |
178 |
106 |
467 |
6 |
| VCDI |
0 |
141 |
140 |
558 |
619 |
653 |
5335 |
3688 |
|
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