Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2012-01-25

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2012-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15498 6288 1103 299 45 11 4 0
OW 0 250 315 265 103 37 13 0
VODI 0 38 89 262 236 166 59 0
ODI 0 2 32 141 145 235 203 4
CDI 0 0 19 115 221 347 839 21
VCDI 0 0 1 19 97 453 6184 3260
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2012-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14422 6528 524 336 171 74 0 0
OW 0 393 87 180 130 155 1 0
VODI 0 257 100 260 196 258 9 0
ODI 0 76 66 173 261 461 70 1
CDI 0 10 17 94 140 596 537 16
VCDI 0 0 0 18 81 885 6489 3347
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2012-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14133 6632 676 311 67 38 5 0
OW 1 309 173 162 106 119 9 0
VODI 0 244 174 227 152 224 26 0
ODI 0 97 127 157 162 309 50 0
CDI 0 6 37 153 204 486 363 17
VCDI 0 1 2 24 142 985 6048 4261
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14133 6848 746 477 186 181 106 0
OW 1 111 69 66 42 82 25 0
VODI 0 136 85 121 87 101 31 0
ODI 0 127 61 86 98 185 46 0
CDI 0 58 116 111 144 360 186 18
VCDI 0 9 112 173 276 1252 6107 4260

Date: 2012-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2012-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14679 6499 600 65 23 4 0 0
OW 0 286 366 157 79 13 20 0
VODI 0 206 234 308 288 92 55 4
ODI 0 179 141 285 314 390 133 9
CDI 0 7 77 148 222 631 497 18
VCDI 0 0 49 63 226 458 5694 3900
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14679 6739 905 293 211 57 60 0
OW 0 92 73 74 67 29 32 0
VODI 0 123 100 137 138 91 66 5
ODI 0 107 82 98 153 195 117 11
CDI 0 70 140 150 136 374 287 13
VCDI 0 46 167 274 447 842 5837 3902

Date: 2012-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15923 6303 583 256 39 13 15 0
OW 4 481 292 390 168 37 31 0
VODI 0 80 107 367 384 194 213 0
ODI 0 56 32 175 203 210 384 3
CDI 0 15 24 90 182 306 687 6
VCDI 0 0 7 26 125 194 4943 3871
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15927 5952 511 235 71 47 110 0
OW 0 175 72 111 41 19 44 0
VODI 0 223 99 180 113 59 134 0
ODI 0 199 72 123 139 106 214 4
CDI 0 200 83 134 162 172 404 5
VCDI 0 186 208 521 575 551 5367 3871


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