Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2011-12-28
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2011-12-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15876 |
7030 |
269 |
353 |
101 |
76 |
74 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
236 |
119 |
248 |
209 |
82 |
69 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
44 |
52 |
199 |
308 |
355 |
90 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
10 |
57 |
181 |
415 |
229 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
31 |
74 |
389 |
637 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
60 |
593 |
5470 |
3451 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2011-12-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
Date: 2011-12-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15412 |
7206 |
778 |
389 |
78 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
321 |
258 |
294 |
211 |
39 |
10 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
20 |
88 |
296 |
333 |
232 |
63 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
4 |
62 |
298 |
468 |
221 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
149 |
513 |
413 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
140 |
775 |
5335 |
2985 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15412 |
7244 |
784 |
426 |
204 |
155 |
73 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
147 |
109 |
103 |
81 |
50 |
17 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
106 |
123 |
163 |
123 |
99 |
31 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
32 |
41 |
94 |
127 |
153 |
63 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
14 |
47 |
80 |
150 |
238 |
184 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
5 |
25 |
193 |
524 |
1336 |
5674 |
2986 |
|
Date: 2012-01-01:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
Date: 2012-01-03:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15515 |
6432 |
215 |
57 |
14 |
1 |
6 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
546 |
221 |
91 |
51 |
18 |
15 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
261 |
270 |
227 |
157 |
199 |
104 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
109 |
104 |
206 |
278 |
295 |
279 |
2 |
| CDI |
0 |
57 |
52 |
153 |
165 |
409 |
577 |
8 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
30 |
148 |
307 |
1003 |
5455 |
3381 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15515 |
6760 |
507 |
281 |
226 |
202 |
141 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
117 |
58 |
50 |
36 |
45 |
43 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
92 |
66 |
75 |
65 |
89 |
87 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
75 |
53 |
85 |
55 |
138 |
127 |
4 |
| CDI |
0 |
171 |
59 |
89 |
150 |
259 |
370 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
191 |
149 |
302 |
440 |
1192 |
5668 |
3382 |
|
Date: 2012-01-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15406 |
6956 |
429 |
189 |
36 |
6 |
3 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
249 |
254 |
258 |
82 |
25 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
104 |
146 |
216 |
197 |
190 |
31 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
61 |
45 |
102 |
174 |
529 |
264 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
45 |
128 |
140 |
697 |
948 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
130 |
868 |
4587 |
3879 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15406 |
6718 |
395 |
303 |
107 |
280 |
277 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
114 |
79 |
49 |
25 |
40 |
67 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
130 |
126 |
97 |
53 |
73 |
84 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
91 |
81 |
95 |
57 |
116 |
101 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
130 |
67 |
125 |
110 |
224 |
297 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
198 |
171 |
249 |
407 |
1582 |
5015 |
3877 |
|
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