Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-12-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8446 893 0
FY ice 527 22518 2552
MY ice 0 4118 4153
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6695 1877 0
FY ice 363 23219 2797
MY ice 0 3911 4129
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5480 969 0
FY ice 338 24648 2915
MY ice 0 4886 4004
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4161 1325 0
FY ice 377 25538 2924
MY ice 0 4820 3922
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4153 1367 0
FY ice 385 25624 2909
MY ice 0 4692 3937

Date: 2023-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3698 1396 0
FY ice 383 25847 2739
MY ice 0 4474 4277
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3707 1448 0
FY ice 374 25898 2718
MY ice 0 4371 4298

Date: 2023-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2472 1885 0
FY ice 292 26469 2740
MY ice 0 4369 4385
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2451 1821 0
FY ice 313 26545 2790
MY ice 0 4357 4335

Date: 2023-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1957 1441 0
FY ice 218 27462 2471
MY ice 0 4379 4881
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1929 1493 0
FY ice 246 27400 2604
MY ice 0 4389 4748

Date: 2023-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0


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