Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-10-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2023-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 28047 2204 0
FY ice 87 3135 12
MY ice 6 1528 5074
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 27101 2491 0
FY ice 94 3811 21
MY ice 4 1493 4143
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 26364 953 0
FY ice 138 4293 22
MY ice 34 3122 3977
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 25655 1304 0
FY ice 132 5025 16
MY ice 0 3464 4295
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 25697 1301 0
FY ice 90 5085 29
MY ice 0 3407 4282

Date: 2023-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24807 1657 0
FY ice 253 5937 40
MY ice 3 2946 5470
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24873 1626 0
FY ice 189 5941 63
MY ice 1 2973 5447

Date: 2023-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24227 841 0
FY ice 169 6775 128
MY ice 8 3382 5744
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24110 1990 0
FY ice 281 6291 149
MY ice 13 2717 5723

Date: 2023-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23554 1302 0
FY ice 86 7072 208
MY ice 0 3502 6365
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23318 2075 0
FY ice 313 6923 220
MY ice 9 2878 6353

Date: 2023-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22451 1847 0
FY ice 113 7659 95
MY ice 0 3891 5358
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22160 2365 0
FY ice 404 7682 107
MY ice 0 3350 5346


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