Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-10-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2023-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 144377 2960 0
FY ice 888 8612 165
MY ice 282 4354 10780
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 142928 3568 0
FY ice 853 9732 162
MY ice 236 3791 8712
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 141980 1871 0
FY ice 431 10897 242
MY ice 112 5155 8568
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140607 2332 0
FY ice 642 12369 331
MY ice 43 5439 8934
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 140600 2253 0
FY ice 653 12451 378
MY ice 39 5436 8887

Date: 2023-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 139066 2852 0
FY ice 929 14014 414
MY ice 65 4863 10591
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 139059 2817 0
FY ice 944 13988 387
MY ice 57 4924 10618

Date: 2023-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 137271 1787 0
FY ice 591 16575 677
MY ice 40 4945 12706
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 136675 3588 0
FY ice 1171 15458 709
MY ice 56 4261 12674

Date: 2023-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 134205 3662 0
FY ice 417 18033 1105
MY ice 6 4794 13826
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 133648 4898 0
FY ice 965 17339 1060
MY ice 15 4252 13871

Date: 2023-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 130096 5925 0
FY ice 810 19949 1158
MY ice 35 5507 11663
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 129809 7145 0
FY ice 1123 19003 826
MY ice 9 5233 11995


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