Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1767 2508 0
FY ice 197 25355 634
MY ice 0 2831 9348
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1638 1833 0
FY ice 360 26367 397
MY ice 0 3167 8817
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 891 617 0
FY ice 238 28452 351
MY ice 2 3550 8613
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 873 608 0
FY ice 375 28493 519
MY ice 0 3316 8330
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 891 680 0
FY ice 357 28505 520
MY ice 0 3232 8329

Date: 2022-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 749 582 0
FY ice 464 28367 505
MY ice 0 3526 8258
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 732 653 0
FY ice 481 28367 499
MY ice 0 3455 8264

Date: 2022-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 492 313 0
FY ice 293 28992 432
MY ice 0 3396 8610
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 466 602 0
FY ice 319 28908 415
MY ice 0 3191 8627

Date: 2022-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 271 232 0
FY ice 192 29232 500
MY ice 0 3795 8306
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 265 473 0
FY ice 198 29061 494
MY ice 0 3725 8312

Date: 2022-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90 190 0
FY ice 164 29582 371
MY ice 0 4173 7548
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96 288 0
FY ice 158 29514 364
MY ice 0 4143 7555


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