Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11528 652 0
FY ice 436 17931 611
MY ice 0 1415 11079
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10477 1230 0
FY ice 259 17378 978
MY ice 0 1871 10904
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9748 882 0
FY ice 215 18130 1207
MY ice 0 1643 11488
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9218 1064 0
FY ice 174 18294 1183
MY ice 0 1624 11335
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9220 1137 0
FY ice 172 18158 1252
MY ice 0 1687 11266

Date: 2022-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8753 1090 0
FY ice 298 18579 1172
MY ice 0 1578 11352
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8761 1155 0
FY ice 290 18466 1231
MY ice 0 1626 11293

Date: 2022-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7940 1004 0
FY ice 152 19791 1056
MY ice 0 1735 11263
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7893 1382 0
FY ice 199 19425 1098
MY ice 0 1723 11221

Date: 2022-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7532 983 0
FY ice 355 20164 1030
MY ice 0 1879 10854
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7360 1208 0
FY ice 527 19976 1029
MY ice 0 1842 10855

Date: 2022-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7025 1005 0
FY ice 628 20695 720
MY ice 0 1855 11172
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6646 1204 0
FY ice 1007 20534 691
MY ice 0 1817 11201


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