Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12623 542 0
FY ice 591 16916 670
MY ice 0 1299 11086
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11901 644 0
FY ice 732 17173 762
MY ice 0 1337 10939
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11760 502 0
FY ice 629 17492 892
MY ice 0 1339 11094
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11692 546 0
FY ice 583 17916 662
MY ice 0 1449 11051
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11686 576 0
FY ice 589 17884 739
MY ice 0 1451 10974

Date: 2022-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11085 933 0
FY ice 474 17368 725
MY ice 0 1667 10990
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11071 987 0
FY ice 488 17282 797
MY ice 0 1699 10918

Date: 2022-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10171 785 0
FY ice 248 17678 1163
MY ice 0 1746 11116
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10063 1237 0
FY ice 356 17251 1278
MY ice 0 1721 11001

Date: 2022-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9376 1054 0
FY ice 176 18045 1260
MY ice 0 1621 11336
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9282 1252 0
FY ice 270 17753 1388
MY ice 0 1715 11208

Date: 2022-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9083 1000 0
FY ice 228 18540 1151
MY ice 0 1611 11347
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8919 1154 0
FY ice 392 18174 1277
MY ice 0 1823 11221


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