Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-04-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14 30 0
FY ice 80 16707 429
MY ice 173 14917 9105
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24 12 0
FY ice 50 16649 378
MY ice 65 15369 8638
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7 4 0
FY ice 23 16650 346
MY ice 15 15294 8678
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 7 4
FY ice 10 16805 323
MY ice 13 15087 8845
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 7 4
FY ice 9 16845 299
MY ice 14 15047 8869

Date: 2022-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 6 3
FY ice 7 16979 303
MY ice 4 14890 8784
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 8 1
FY ice 6 16980 284
MY ice 4 14887 8805

Date: 2022-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6 9 0
FY ice 3 17205 255
MY ice 9 15442 8033
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 10 0
FY ice 4 17190 246
MY ice 9 15456 8042

Date: 2022-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 4 0
FY ice 214 17189 190
MY ice 13 15624 8153
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 5 0
FY ice 209 17253 197
MY ice 21 15559 8146

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7 20 0
FY ice 125 17232 202
MY ice 11 15876 7873
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7 11 0
FY ice 123 17291 197
MY ice 13 15826 7878


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