Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-01-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88305 876 11
FY ice 999 54327 8134
MY ice 5 10287 15124
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87595 1141 13
FY ice 1406 54937 7452
MY ice 6 10099 15105
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87303 1195 1
FY ice 793 56505 7177
MY ice 1 10552 14537
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87022 1232 0
FY ice 921 56635 7132
MY ice 2 10523 14709
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87025 1249 0
FY ice 915 56454 7001
MY ice 5 10687 14840

Date: 2022-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86459 1368 39
FY ice 699 57364 6244
MY ice 5 10471 14821
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86465 1409 38
FY ice 691 57144 6129
MY ice 7 10650 14937

Date: 2022-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86979 1168 14
FY ice 1477 57756 4317
MY ice 30 11445 14367
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86496 1381 33
FY ice 1955 57174 4346
MY ice 35 11814 14319

Date: 2022-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86390 1601 0
FY ice 2149 56776 5044
MY ice 51 11898 14203
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85985 1765 2
FY ice 2528 56150 4964
MY ice 77 12360 14281

Date: 2022-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85644 1882 0
FY ice 1935 57901 5598
MY ice 32 12638 13873
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85302 2077 0
FY ice 2254 57071 5346
MY ice 55 13273 14125


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