Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-12-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 677 823 0
FY ice 383 22357 1981
MY ice 0 4840 10261
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 480 698 0
FY ice 361 22125 2268
MY ice 0 4092 10438
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 290 184 0
FY ice 231 22624 2219
MY ice 0 4581 10415
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92 115 0
FY ice 218 22464 2529
MY ice 0 4714 10359
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82 105 0
FY ice 228 22631 2485
MY ice 0 4557 10403

Date: 2022-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 46 53 0
FY ice 203 22588 2516
MY ice 0 4842 10406
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 47 53 0
FY ice 202 22744 2484
MY ice 0 4686 10438

Date: 2022-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 53 0
FY ice 30 23034 2290
MY ice 0 5443 10236
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 71 0
FY ice 30 23249 2278
MY ice 0 5210 10248

Date: 2022-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 9 0
FY ice 68 23735 1688
MY ice 0 6013 9898
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 23 0
FY ice 68 23934 1707
MY ice 0 5800 9879

Date: 2022-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 90 22307 2275
MY ice 0 5281 10870
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 90 22419 2248
MY ice 0 5169 10897


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