Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-12-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4098 680 0
FY ice 478 18959 2115
MY ice 0 3784 10584
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2772 1304 0
FY ice 268 20061 2099
MY ice 0 3794 10636
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1201 1058 0
FY ice 260 21653 2010
MY ice 0 4070 10568
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 637 1025 0
FY ice 270 21920 2049
MY ice 0 4255 10457
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 626 983 0
FY ice 281 21991 2116
MY ice 0 4226 10390

Date: 2021-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 575 811 0
FY ice 389 22122 2166
MY ice 0 4392 10331
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 564 784 0
FY ice 400 22162 2181
MY ice 0 4379 10316

Date: 2021-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 397 138 0
FY ice 177 22571 2162
MY ice 0 4432 10516
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 311 633 0
FY ice 263 22498 2154
MY ice 0 4010 10524

Date: 2021-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110 169 0
FY ice 214 22606 2459
MY ice 0 4544 10465
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 76 352 0
FY ice 248 22837 2506
MY ice 0 4130 10418

Date: 2021-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95 88 0
FY ice 300 22546 2477
MY ice 2 4897 10379
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 50 171 0
FY ice 347 22884 2533
MY ice 0 4476 10323


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