Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-12-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7716 128 0
FY ice 280 16918 2924
MY ice 10 2074 11012
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7104 353 0
FY ice 260 18334 1922
MY ice 0 2970 9953
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5983 796 0
FY ice 146 18966 2050
MY ice 0 2723 10535
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5390 1075 0
FY ice 105 19470 1887
MY ice 0 3143 10154
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5403 1114 0
FY ice 92 19480 1988
MY ice 0 3094 10053

Date: 2021-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5256 895 0
FY ice 244 19086 2038
MY ice 0 3206 10061
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5260 900 0
FY ice 240 19100 2120
MY ice 0 3187 9979

Date: 2021-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4861 460 0
FY ice 163 19160 2399
MY ice 0 3397 10370
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4666 1082 0
FY ice 358 18825 2515
MY ice 0 3110 10254

Date: 2021-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4308 689 0
FY ice 262 19114 2422
MY ice 0 3304 10680
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4146 1167 0
FY ice 424 18752 2529
MY ice 0 3188 10573

Date: 2021-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4098 680 0
FY ice 478 18959 2115
MY ice 0 3784 10584
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3963 948 0
FY ice 613 18691 2271
MY ice 0 3784 10428


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