Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-12-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2021-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8508 134 0
FY ice 302 16728 2755
MY ice 0 1812 10786
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8270 116 0
FY ice 393 16706 2659
MY ice 0 1931 10720
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8134 205 0
FY ice 164 16638 3083
MY ice 0 2003 10612
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7953 109 0
FY ice 209 16490 3154
MY ice 0 2039 10844
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7912 83 0
FY ice 250 16543 3220
MY ice 0 2012 10778

Date: 2021-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7472 170 0
FY ice 264 17694 2284
MY ice 2 2659 10331
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7457 178 0
FY ice 277 17709 2360
MY ice 4 2636 10255

Date: 2021-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6590 449 0
FY ice 224 18676 2181
MY ice 1 2606 10619
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6573 655 0
FY ice 240 18602 2177
MY ice 2 2474 10623

Date: 2021-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5653 968 0
FY ice 121 19444 1913
MY ice 0 2892 10302
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5622 1123 0
FY ice 152 19496 1896
MY ice 0 2685 10319

Date: 2021-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5582 726 0
FY ice 196 19244 1900
MY ice 0 3129 10146
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5550 843 0
FY ice 228 19442 1828
MY ice 0 2814 10218


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