Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-11-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2021-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8871 1321 0
FY ice 293 16541 2429
MY ice 0 1240 10613
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8579 962 0
FY ice 168 16984 2247
MY ice 0 1275 10311
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8763 177 0
FY ice 349 17104 2307
MY ice 0 1731 10655
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8675 95 0
FY ice 302 16928 2712
MY ice 0 1763 10833
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8640 126 0
FY ice 337 16903 2709
MY ice 0 1757 10836

Date: 2021-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8362 157 0
FY ice 309 16769 2662
MY ice 0 1918 10769
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8278 136 0
FY ice 393 16824 2698
MY ice 0 1884 10733

Date: 2021-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8395 109 0
FY ice 163 16628 2797
MY ice 0 1970 10679
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8121 55 0
FY ice 437 16718 2815
MY ice 0 1934 10661

Date: 2021-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8059 157 0
FY ice 153 16581 3160
MY ice 0 2008 10758
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7958 68 0
FY ice 254 16684 3189
MY ice 0 1994 10729

Date: 2021-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7716 128 0
FY ice 280 16918 2924
MY ice 10 2074 11012
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7717 115 0
FY ice 280 16906 3054
MY ice 9 2099 10882


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