Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-10-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2021-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19465 1306 0
FY ice 141 6779 1801
MY ice 3 506 11694
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18886 1465 0
FY ice 105 9014 554
MY ice 7 1015 10086
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18948 555 0
FY ice 107 8939 796
MY ice 0 813 10722
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18895 393 0
FY ice 316 7848 1194
MY ice 2 375 11261
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18896 424 0
FY ice 312 7717 1145
MY ice 5 475 11310

Date: 2021-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18014 871 0
FY ice 323 8345 1596
MY ice 0 370 11975
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18056 887 0
FY ice 281 8281 1562
MY ice 0 418 12009

Date: 2021-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17546 830 0
FY ice 124 9101 1523
MY ice 6 479 11822
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17457 1083 0
FY ice 213 8755 1555
MY ice 6 572 11790

Date: 2021-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17873 292 0
FY ice 384 8754 1863
MY ice 0 387 12206
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17715 547 0
FY ice 542 8379 1960
MY ice 0 507 12109

Date: 2021-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17859 344 0
FY ice 459 9603 1558
MY ice 0 394 12177
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17734 629 0
FY ice 584 9274 1633
MY ice 0 438 12102


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