Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2021-10-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2021-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101410 493 0
FY ice 38 385 70
MY ice 0 255 5264
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101352 432 4
FY ice 51 203 251
MY ice 4 166 6145
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101170 317 5
FY ice 72 367 310
MY ice 4 154 6122
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100876 414 0
FY ice 74 421 372
MY ice 6 188 6117
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100878 428 0
FY ice 72 396 433
MY ice 6 199 6056

Date: 2021-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100414 678 0
FY ice 42 522 421
MY ice 3 186 6092
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100417 710 1
FY ice 37 489 484
MY ice 5 187 6028

Date: 2021-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99952 756 0
FY ice 20 1027 375
MY ice 1 373 5764
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99950 1055 1
FY ice 18 837 432
MY ice 5 264 5706

Date: 2021-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99862 723 0
FY ice 87 1022 441
MY ice 6 336 5642
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99864 1010 0
FY ice 77 785 505
MY ice 14 286 5578

Date: 2021-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99934 544 0
FY ice 147 1158 490
MY ice 8 304 5695
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99918 832 0
FY ice 135 871 595
MY ice 36 303 5590


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