Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-05-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2021-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 333 2 0
FY ice 93 11280 1815
MY ice 148 9733 7674
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 350 0 0
FY ice 128 0 0
MY ice 179 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 332 0 0
FY ice 173 0 0
MY ice 141 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 349 0 0
FY ice 189 0 0
MY ice 104 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 347 0 0
FY ice 190 0 0
MY ice 105 0 0

Date: 2021-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 406 0 0
FY ice 441 0 0
MY ice 205 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 407 0 0
FY ice 425 0 0
MY ice 220 0 0

Date: 2021-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 540 0 0
FY ice 241 0 0
MY ice 41 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 419 0 0
FY ice 289 0 0
MY ice 114 0 0

Date: 2021-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 571 0 0
FY ice 273 0 0
MY ice 92 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 484 0 0
FY ice 316 0 0
MY ice 136 0 0

Date: 2021-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 903 0 0
FY ice 447 0 0
MY ice 81 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 663 0 0
FY ice 598 0 0
MY ice 170 0 0


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