Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-05-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2021-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 349 0 0
FY ice 72 12072 1956
MY ice 42 10380 8153
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 300 0 0
FY ice 77 11687 2316
MY ice 39 10297 8048
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 355 2 0
FY ice 75 11517 2105
MY ice 47 10481 8153
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 316 2 0
FY ice 89 11383 2034
MY ice 106 10080 8096
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 320 2 0
FY ice 75 11503 2135
MY ice 116 9960 7995

Date: 2021-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 281 3 0
FY ice 122 11485 1349
MY ice 186 9838 7238
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 281 2 0
FY ice 118 11567 1429
MY ice 190 9757 7158

Date: 2021-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 354 0 0
FY ice 142 0 0
MY ice 126 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 316 0 0
FY ice 116 0 0
MY ice 190 0 0

Date: 2021-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 318 0 0
FY ice 208 0 0
MY ice 145 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 273 0 0
FY ice 166 0 0
MY ice 232 0 0

Date: 2021-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 424 0 0
FY ice 337 0 0
MY ice 106 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 365 0 0
FY ice 302 0 0
MY ice 200 0 0


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