Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-04-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2021-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16 0 0
FY ice 29 11358 1802
MY ice 16 10562 9858
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 24 0
FY ice 8 11727 1351
MY ice 7 11420 8637
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 1 0
FY ice 18 11921 1127
MY ice 12 10823 9186
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 7 0
FY ice 6 11626 1454
MY ice 4 10505 9677
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 9 0
FY ice 6 11665 1634
MY ice 4 10464 9497

Date: 2021-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 13 0
FY ice 3 12011 1433
MY ice 4 10568 9269
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 13 0
FY ice 4 12056 1594
MY ice 3 10523 9108

Date: 2021-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 1 0
FY ice 5 11802 1422
MY ice 6 10203 9422
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 4 0
FY ice 6 11918 1560
MY ice 5 10084 9284

Date: 2021-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 1 0
FY ice 24 11852 1446
MY ice 28 10295 9402
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 1 0
FY ice 24 11945 1564
MY ice 28 10202 9284

Date: 2021-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21 6 0
FY ice 60 12011 1523
MY ice 24 10153 8474
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 0 7
FY ice 64 12086 1619
MY ice 36 10084 8371


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