Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-03-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2021-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 11000 2387
MY ice 0 9073 12058
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 8 0
FY ice 9 11050 2196
MY ice 0 9293 11611
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 11524 2114
MY ice 0 9238 11573
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 11353 2238
MY ice 0 9518 10953
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 11365 2337
MY ice 0 9506 10854

Date: 2021-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 11122 2187
MY ice 0 9641 11476
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 11104 2299
MY ice 0 9659 11364

Date: 2021-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 5 10923 2176
MY ice 0 9568 11667
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 1 10938 2270
MY ice 4 9553 11573

Date: 2021-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 10788 2180
MY ice 0 9570 11810
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 10836 2198
MY ice 0 9522 11792

Date: 2021-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 10747 2184
MY ice 0 9663 11914
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 10758 2288
MY ice 0 9652 11810


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