Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2021-01-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 29 15546 1728
MY ice 0 5901 11818
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 15306 1858
MY ice 0 6062 11947
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 34 15165 1846
MY ice 0 5913 12016
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 21 14944 2020
MY ice 0 6116 11794
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 21 14933 2066
MY ice 0 6127 11748

Date: 2021-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 17 14735 1940
MY ice 0 6266 11815
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 1 0
FY ice 17 14767 1964
MY ice 0 6233 11791

Date: 2021-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 9 14531 2125
MY ice 0 6141 11724
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 9 14566 2102
MY ice 0 6106 11747

Date: 2021-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 8 14304 2278
MY ice 0 6393 11512
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 8 14347 2260
MY ice 0 6350 11530

Date: 2021-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 13963 2394
MY ice 0 6255 11781
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 14011 2374
MY ice 0 6207 11801


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